Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

First Division 2011/2012

Mingachevir

2 - 4

Salyan

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2011/2012 game between Mingachevir and Salyan finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Salyan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Mingachevir

33%

Draws

27%

Salyan

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mingachevir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Mingachevir come out ahead of Salyan on wins alone.
Mingachevir are the model's pick here, at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Mingachevir Clean Sheet 20%

Salyan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mingachevir	Salyan
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	16	11
Draws	6	4
Losses	10	15
Goals Scored	1.5	0
Goals Conceded	0.75	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2012 I Liqa

Mingachevir vs Salyan

2:4

Nov 13, 2011 I Liqa

Salyan vs Mingachevir

1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mingachevir 40 / 100

Salyan 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mingachevir Salyan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salyan has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Mingachevir scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Mingachevir has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mingachevir VS -

1.5 Goals Scored 0

0.75 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mingachevir

(Home)

28 May

Gabala

2 : 0

Mingachevir

22 May

Mingachevir

4 : 1

Sabail

15 May

Mingachevir

3 : 1

MOIK Baku

05 May

Sahdag Qusar

2 : 0

Mingachevir

29 Apr

Mingachevir

7 : 1

Zaqatala PFK

Page 1 of 7

Salyan

(Away)

12 May

Salyan

0 : 0

Sahdag Qusar

28 Apr

Goyazan Qazax

1 : 1

Salyan

21 Apr

Salyan

2 : 1

Taraggi

14 Apr

Shamkir

1 : 0

Salyan

08 Apr

Salyan

2 : 0

MOIK Baku

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lokbatan	52	36	7	9	92:33	115
2	Sahdag Qusar	52	26	14	12	91:55	92
3	Bakili Baku	52	27	9	16	73:52	90
4	MKT Araz Imisli	52	26	6	20	84:77	84
5	Karvan	52	23	12	17	81:62	81
6	ANSAD Neftcala	52	21	13	18	70:64	76
7	Abseron	26	22	4	0	75:6	70
8	Ravan	26	19	3	4	54:14	60
9	Shamkir	52	14	14	24	53:74	56
10	Susa	52	10	16	26	41:64	46
11	SumQayit FK	26	13	5	8	34:26	44
12	Mingachevir	52	10	13	29	38:95	43
13	Bilajary	26	10	6	10	37:33	36
14	Taraggi	26	9	4	13	28:30	31
15	Salyan	26	9	4	13	26:43	31
16	Goyazan Qazax	52	6	8	38	39:124	26
17	MOIK Baku	26	7	4	15	34:44	25
18	Adliyya Baku	26	3	4	19	13:67	13

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