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Mingachevir vs Sharurspor Prediction & H2H Stats

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2015/2016
Mingachevir Logo

Mingachevir

0 - 4
FT
Sharurspor Logo

Sharurspor

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sharurspor in this First Division 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sharurspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Mingachevir
15%
Draws
0%
Sharurspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mingachevir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mingachevir lately — more wins on the board than Sharurspor.
  • Model gives Mingachevir a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mingachevir Clean Sheet 20%
Sharurspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mingachevir Sharurspor
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.87 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2017 I Liqa
Sharurspor vs Mingachevir
0:3
Oct 21, 2016 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Sharurspor
1:1
Mar 6, 2016 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Sharurspor
0:4
Oct 1, 2015 I Liqa
Sharurspor vs Mingachevir
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mingachevir 85 / 100
Sharurspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mingachevir Sharurspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mingachevir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mingachevir's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Sharurspor lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Sharurspor has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mingachevir VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mingachevir

(Home)
17 Sept
Mingachevir
0 : 3
Gancabasar
10 Sept
Sabail
2 : 1
Mingachevir
04 Sept
Mingachevir
2 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
28 May
Gabala
2 : 0
Mingachevir
22 May
Mingachevir
4 : 1
Sabail
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Sharurspor

(Away)
27 Apr
Zaqatala PFK
3 : 0
Sharurspor
21 Apr
Sharurspor
0 : 0
Ravan
14 Apr
Sahdag Qusar
3 : 0
Sharurspor
10 Apr
Sharurspor
0 : 3
Turan
27 Mar
Sharurspor
0 : 3
Agsu (Inactive)
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ANSAD Neftcala 26 20 2 4 74:20 62
2 Lokbatan 26 18 4 4 59:28 58
3 Agsu (Inactive) 26 13 8 5 46:29 47
4 MOIK Baku 26 14 5 7 53:24 47
5 Shamkir 26 10 8 8 30:24 38
6 Zaqatala PFK 26 9 9 8 47:36 36
7 Turan 26 10 6 10 35:31 36
8 Imisli FK 26 8 8 10 28:26 32
9 FK Baku 26 9 3 14 33:42 30
10 Bakili Baku 26 8 6 12 34:46 30
11 Sahdag Qusar 26 8 6 12 31:54 30
12 Sharurspor 26 8 4 14 45:44 28
13 Goyazan Qazax 26 3 8 15 17:42 17
14 Mingachevir 26 4 3 19 14:100 15
Promotion - Premier League 2016/2017 (Main)