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Minneapolis City vs Thunder Bay Chill Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

USL League Two 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL League Two 2023 game between Minneapolis City and Thunder Bay Chill finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thunder Bay Chill.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Minneapolis City
15%
Draws
36%
Thunder Bay Chill
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Minneapolis City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Minneapolis City come out ahead of Thunder Bay Chill on wins alone.
  • Model gives Minneapolis City a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL League Two 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Minneapolis City Clean Sheet 20%
Thunder Bay Chill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minneapolis City Thunder Bay Chill
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 28 21
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 2.38 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2024 USL League Two
Minneapolis City vs Thunder Bay Chill
2:1
Jul 5, 2024 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs Minneapolis City
3:2
Jun 6, 2024 USL League Two
Minneapolis City vs Thunder Bay Chill
1:0
Jul 7, 2023 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs Minneapolis City
2:2
Jun 29, 2023 USL League Two
Minneapolis City vs Thunder Bay Chill
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minneapolis City 85 / 100
Thunder Bay Chill 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minneapolis City Thunder Bay Chill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minneapolis City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Minneapolis City scored in 90% of their last 42 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Thunder Bay Chill let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Minneapolis City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Minneapolis City VS -
2.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Minneapolis City

(Home)
19 Jul
Peoria IL
4 : 0
Minneapolis City
16 Jul
Minneapolis City
2 : 0
West Virginia
12 Jul
Edgewater Castle
0 : 4
Minneapolis City
07 Jul
Rochester FC
0 : 4
Minneapolis City
01 Jul
Minneapolis City
3 : 0
St. Croix
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Thunder Bay Chill

(Away)
20 Jul
Peoria IL
2 : 0
Thunder Bay Chill
13 Jul
Minneapolis City
2 : 1
Thunder Bay Chill
11 Jul
St. Croix
1 : 2
Thunder Bay Chill
07 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
2 : 0
Rochester FC
05 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
3 : 2
Minneapolis City
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