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Minnesota United 2 vs San Jose Earthquakes II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Allianz Field, Saint Paul, MN
Minnesota United 2 Logo

Minnesota United 2

Sun, Aug 9, 2026
1 - 2
12:00 AM
San Jose Earthquakes II Logo

San Jose Earthquakes II

Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Clarkson J.
46'
Sub
Harwood M. In: Cruz H.
Out: Harwood M.
46'
Sub
Baptista D. In: Kwende M.
Out: Baptista D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Minnesota United 2 and San Jose Earthquakes II finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Jose Earthquakes II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Minnesota United 2
15%
Draws
32%
San Jose Earthquakes II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Minnesota United 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • San Jose Earthquakes II haven't matched Minnesota United 2's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Minnesota United 2's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Minnesota United 2 Clean Sheet 20%
San Jose Earthquakes II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minnesota United 2 San Jose Earthquakes II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 15
Draws 0 0
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.67 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Minnesota United 2 vs San Jose Earthquakes II
1:2
Apr 13, 2026 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Minnesota United 2
1:0
Sep 1, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Minnesota United 2 vs San Jose Earthquakes II
1:0
Jul 23, 2025 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Minnesota United 2
3:2
Aug 9, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Minnesota United 2 vs San Jose Earthquakes II
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Minnesota United 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vigilante S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

San Jose Earthquakes II Compare

Top Goalscorer Bohane Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minnesota United 2 76 / 100
San Jose Earthquakes II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minnesota United 2 San Jose Earthquakes II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minnesota United 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Minnesota United 2 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: San Jose Earthquakes II conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Minnesota United 2 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Minnesota United 2 VS San Jose Earthquakes II
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Minnesota United 2

(Home)
20 Sept
Minnesota United 2
3 : 2
Los Angeles FC 2
17 Sept
Real Monarchs
0 : 1
Minnesota United 2
13 Sept
Minnesota United 2
5 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
06 Sept
Minnesota United 2
2 : 0
Colorado Rapids 2
30 Aug
Houston Dynamo 2
0 : 2
Minnesota United 2
Page 1 of 6

San Jose Earthquakes II

(Away)
20 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
0 : 2
San Jose Earthquakes II
14 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
4 : 0
Real Monarchs
10 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 3
Ventura County
06 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 2
Tacoma Defiance
31 Aug
San Jose Earthquakes II
3 : 2
Los Angeles FC 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)