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Minnesota United 2 vs Sporting Kansas City II Prediction & H2H Stats

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MLS Next Pro Allianz Field, Saint Paul, MN
Minnesota United 2 Logo

Minnesota United 2

4 - 3
FT
Sporting Kansas City II Logo

Sporting Kansas City II

Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Derksen C.
14' Event
Caldeira M.
Assist: Friedman J.
24' Event
Caldeira M.
Assist: Kabia A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Minnesota United 2 in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Minnesota United 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Minnesota United 2
15%
Draws
14%
Sporting Kansas City II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Minnesota United 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Sporting Kansas City II haven't matched Minnesota United 2's recent run of results.
  • 71% — that's where the model lands on Minnesota United 2 taking it.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Minnesota United 2 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Minnesota United 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting Kansas City II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minnesota United 2 Sporting Kansas City II
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 0 0
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 1.68 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Sporting Kansas City II vs Minnesota United 2
1:0
Jun 9, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Minnesota United 2 vs Sporting Kansas City II
4:3
Mar 23, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Sporting Kansas City II vs Minnesota United 2
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Minnesota United 2 vs Sporting Kansas City II
3:1
Aug 9, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Minnesota United 2 vs Sporting Kansas City II
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Minnesota United 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Caldeira M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Putt T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Sporting Kansas City II Compare

Top Goalscorer Ikoba T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minnesota United 2 85 / 100
Sporting Kansas City II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minnesota United 2 Sporting Kansas City II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minnesota United 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Minnesota United 2's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Sporting Kansas City II let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Minnesota United 2 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Minnesota United 2 VS Sporting Kansas City II
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Minnesota United 2

(Home)
20 Sept
Minnesota United 2
3 : 2
Los Angeles FC 2
17 Sept
Real Monarchs
0 : 1
Minnesota United 2
13 Sept
Minnesota United 2
5 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
06 Sept
Minnesota United 2
2 : 0
Colorado Rapids 2
30 Aug
Houston Dynamo 2
0 : 2
Minnesota United 2
Page 1 of 7

Sporting Kansas City II

(Away)
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo 2
2 : 3
Sporting Kansas City II
14 Sept
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 5
Los Angeles FC 2
06 Sept
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 2
St. Louis City 2
30 Aug
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
5 : 1
Sporting Kansas City II
25 Aug
Tacoma Defiance
4 : 0
Sporting Kansas City II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)