Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro Allianz Field

Minnesota United 2

Mon, Jun 29, 2026

3 - 2

12:00 AM

Tacoma Defiance

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Sub

Maynes S. In: Schauf B.

Out: Maynes S.

30'

Putt T.

39'

Bronnik M.

Assist: Gaffney C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Minnesota United 2 in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Minnesota United 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Minnesota United 2

39%

Draws

31%

Tacoma Defiance

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Tacoma Defiance haven't matched Minnesota United 2's recent run of results.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Minnesota United 2 Clean Sheet 16%

Tacoma Defiance Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Minnesota United 2	Tacoma Defiance
Matches Played	32	29
Wins	19	12
Draws	0	0
Losses	13	17
Goals Scored	2.13	1
Goals Conceded	1.88	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Minnesota United 2 vs Tacoma Defiance

Possession: 43% - 58% Cards: 2 - 4

3:2

Aug 16, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Minnesota United 2 vs Tacoma Defiance

Possession: 50% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Jun 1, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Tacoma Defiance vs Minnesota United 2

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Aug 4, 2024 MLS Next Pro

Tacoma Defiance vs Minnesota United 2

Possession: 44% - 49% Cards: 2 - 4

5:1

May 19, 2024 MLS Next Pro

Minnesota United 2 vs Tacoma Defiance

Possession: 57% - 60% Cards: 4 - 2

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Minnesota United 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Putt T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Orta Ruiz J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Tacoma Defiance Compare

Top Goalscorer Bronnik M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minnesota United 2 30 / 100

Tacoma Defiance 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Minnesota United 2 Tacoma Defiance

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MNU Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Minnesota United 2's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Tacoma Defiance's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Minnesota United 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Minnesota United 2 VS Tacoma Defiance

2.13 Goals Scored 1

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 38%

50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	18	13	5	33:29	36
2	New York Red Bulls II	18	10	8	39:27	32
3	New England Revolution II	17	11	6	23:20	32
4	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
5	Philadelphia Union II	18	9	9	21:21	26
6	CT United FC	17	9	8	31:31	25
7	Toronto FC II	18	7	11	27:35	22
8	FC Cincinnati 2	17	5	12	16:31	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	17	12	5	41:25	34
2	Orlando City B	18	11	7	39:32	33
3	Chattanooga	18	12	6	34:29	33
4	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
5	Chicago Fire II	17	9	8	27:24	27
6	Huntsville City	17	7	10	29:35	22
7	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
8	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
2	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
3	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
4	San Jose Earthquakes II	16	9	7	37:19	28
5	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
6	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
4	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
5	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
6	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
7	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	18	13	5	33:29	36
2	Crown Legacy	17	12	5	41:25	34
3	Orlando City B	18	11	7	39:32	33
4	Chattanooga	18	12	6	34:29	33
5	New York Red Bulls II	18	10	8	39:27	32
6	New England Revolution II	17	11	6	23:20	32
7	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
8	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
9	Chicago Fire II	17	9	8	27:24	27
10	Philadelphia Union II	18	9	9	21:21	26
11	CT United FC	17	9	8	31:31	25
12	Toronto FC II	18	7	11	27:35	22
13	Huntsville City	17	7	10	29:35	22
14	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
15	FC Cincinnati 2	17	5	12	16:31	14
16	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
4	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
5	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
6	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
7	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
8	San Jose Earthquakes II	16	9	7	37:19	28
9	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
10	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
11	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
12	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17
13	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
14	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12