Sport Picks
Minnesota United 2 vs Tacoma Defiance Prediction & H2H Stats
USA
MLS Next Pro Allianz Field, Saint Paul, MN 
Match Events
27'
27'
Sub
Maynes S. In: Schauf B.
Out: Maynes S.
30'
30'
Putt T.
39'
39'
Bronnik M.
Assist: Gaffney C.
AI Match Summary
Minnesota United 2 in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Minnesota United 2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Minnesota United 2
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tacoma Defiance haven't matched Minnesota United 2's recent run of results.
- Minnesota United 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Minnesota United 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Tacoma Defiance Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Minnesota United 2 | Tacoma Defiance |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 16 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.65 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 29, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Minnesota United 2 vs Tacoma Defiance
3:2
Aug 16, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Minnesota United 2 vs Tacoma Defiance
2:1
Jun 1, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance vs Minnesota United 2
2:1
Aug 4, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance vs Minnesota United 2
5:1
May 19, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Minnesota United 2 vs Tacoma Defiance
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Minnesota United 2 Compare
Top Goalscorer Putt T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Orta Ruiz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Tacoma Defiance Compare
Top Goalscorer Bronnik M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Minnesota United 2 83 / 100
Tacoma Defiance 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Minnesota United 2 Tacoma Defiance
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Minnesota United 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Minnesota United 2's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Minnesota United 2 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Tacoma Defiance's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Minnesota United 2 VS Tacoma Defiance
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Minnesota United 2
(Home) 20 Sept
Minnesota United 2
3 : 2 Los Angeles FC 2
17 Sept
Real Monarchs
0 : 1 Minnesota United 2
13 Sept
Minnesota United 2
5 : 1 Vancouver Whitecaps 2
06 Sept
Minnesota United 2
2 : 0 Colorado Rapids 2
30 Aug
Houston Dynamo 2
0 : 2 Minnesota United 2
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Minnesota United 2
3 : 2 Los Angeles FC 2
13 Sept
Minnesota United 2
5 : 1 Vancouver Whitecaps 2
06 Sept
Minnesota United 2
2 : 0 Colorado Rapids 2
09 Aug
Minnesota United 2
1 : 2 San Jose Earthquakes II
01 Aug
Minnesota United 2
1 : 2 Portland Timbers 2
Page 1 of 3
Tacoma Defiance
(Away) 20 Sept
Tacoma Defiance
2 : 1 Portland Timbers 2
14 Sept
Ventura County
3 : 0 Tacoma Defiance
06 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 2 Tacoma Defiance
31 Aug
Real Monarchs
3 : 0 Tacoma Defiance
25 Aug
Tacoma Defiance
4 : 0 Sporting Kansas City II
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Ventura County
3 : 0 Tacoma Defiance
06 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 2 Tacoma Defiance
31 Aug
Real Monarchs
3 : 0 Tacoma Defiance
17 Aug
Los Angeles FC 2
4 : 3 Tacoma Defiance
09 Aug
North Texas
3 : 1 Tacoma Defiance
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 28 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 49:43 | 48 |
| 2 | New England Revolution II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 47:42 | 48 |
| 3 | New York City II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 50:44 | 47 |
| 4 | CT United FC | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 59:52 | 46 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 58:48 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 37:40 | 43 |
| 7 | Toronto FC II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 48:56 | 39 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 32:62 | 20 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 28 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 67:39 | 58 |
| 2 | Chattanooga | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 56:39 | 56 |
| 3 | Atlanta United 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 62:46 | 48 |
| 4 | Huntsville City | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 5 | Orlando City B | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 55:56 | 44 |
| 6 | Chicago Fire II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 50:48 | 39 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 40:53 | 31 |
| 8 | Inter Miami II | 28 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 30:74 | 15 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portland Timbers 2 | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 37:29 | 57 |
| 2 | Ventura County | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 58:36 | 53 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 50:48 | 45 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 51:36 | 42 |
| 5 | Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 40:44 | 41 |
| 6 | Real Monarchs | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 38:55 | 33 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 39:62 | 27 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 28 | 21 | 0 | 7 | 54:21 | 65 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 53:33 | 52 |
| 3 | Minnesota United 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 43:39 | 45 |
| 4 | St. Louis City 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 42:40 | 44 |
| 5 | North Texas | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 42:41 | 40 |
| 6 | Sporting Kansas City II | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 36:75 | 23 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 28:52 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 28 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 67:39 | 58 |
| 2 | Chattanooga | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 56:39 | 56 |
| 3 | Atlanta United 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 62:46 | 48 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew 2 | 28 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 49:43 | 48 |
| 5 | New England Revolution II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 47:42 | 48 |
| 6 | New York City II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 50:44 | 47 |
| 7 | CT United FC | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 59:52 | 46 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 58:48 | 46 |
| 9 | Huntsville City | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 10 | Orlando City B | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 55:56 | 44 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 37:40 | 43 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 48:56 | 39 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 50:48 | 39 |
| 14 | Carolina Core | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 40:53 | 31 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 32:62 | 20 |
| 16 | Inter Miami II | 28 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 30:74 | 15 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 28 | 21 | 0 | 7 | 54:21 | 65 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers 2 | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 37:29 | 57 |
| 3 | Ventura County | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 58:36 | 53 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 53:33 | 52 |
| 5 | Minnesota United 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 43:39 | 45 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 50:48 | 45 |
| 7 | St. Louis City 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 42:40 | 44 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 51:36 | 42 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 40:44 | 41 |
| 10 | North Texas | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 42:41 | 40 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 38:55 | 33 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 39:62 | 27 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 36:75 | 23 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 28:52 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
