Sport Picks
Minnesota United vs Juarez
North & Central America
Leagues Cup Allianz Field, Saint Paul, MN 
Match Events
22'
22'
Guilherme Castilho
Assist: Rodriguez J.
34'
34'
Chancalay T.
38'
38'
Estupinan O.
Assist: Torres Ramirez I. J. M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Juarez
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Minnesota United have managed 1.26 goals a game lately — Juarez are scoring more at 1.55.
- Model gives Minnesota United a 28% chance of winning this.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Juarez, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Minnesota United Clean Sheet 19%
Juarez Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Minnesota United | Juarez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 5, 2026 Leagues Cup
Minnesota United vs Juarez
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Minnesota United Compare
Top Goalscorer Chancalay T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Juarez Compare
Top Goalscorer Guilherme Castilho
1 Goals Assists Leader Estupinan O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Minnesota United 58 / 100
Juarez 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Minnesota United Juarez
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Juarez let in goals in 94% of their last 31 matches.
Minnesota United found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Minnesota United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Minnesota United VS Juarez
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Minnesota United
(Home) 05 Aug
Minnesota United
1 : 2 Juarez
02 Aug
Minnesota United
1 : 1 San Diego FC
26 Jul
Minnesota United
0 : 0 Vancouver Whitecaps
23 Jul
Sporting Kansas City
2 : 1 Minnesota United
23 May
Minnesota United
1 : 1 Real Salt Lake
Page 1 of 6
05 Aug
Minnesota United
1 : 2 Juarez
02 Aug
Minnesota United
1 : 1 San Diego FC
26 Jul
Minnesota United
0 : 0 Vancouver Whitecaps
23 May
Minnesota United
1 : 1 Real Salt Lake
14 May
Minnesota United
0 : 1 Colorado Rapids
Page 1 of 3
Juarez
(Away) 05 Aug
Minnesota United
1 : 2 Juarez
01 Aug
Juarez
1 : 5 UNAM Pumas
25 Jul
Guadalajara Chivas
1 : 0 Juarez
18 Jul
Juarez
0 : 1 Puebla
10 Jul
Colorado Rapids
1 : 1 Juarez
Page 1 of 7
05 Aug
Minnesota United
1 : 2 Juarez
25 Jul
Guadalajara Chivas
1 : 0 Juarez
10 Jul
Colorado Rapids
1 : 1 Juarez
04 Jul
Zacatecas Mineros
1 : 3 Juarez
22 Apr
UNAM Pumas
4 : 2 Juarez
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juarez | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 4 |
| 3 | Toluca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Club America | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Atlante | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 | Club Leon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 8 | Guadalajara Chivas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 10 | Atletico San Luis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 11 | Santos Laguna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 13 | Queretaro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 14 | Club Tijuana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 15 | Pachuca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 16 | Puebla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 17 | Atlas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 18 | UNAM Pumas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Portland Timbers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 |
| 5 | Inter Miami | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 6 | FC Dallas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 8 | New York City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 9 | Austin FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 11 | Los Angeles FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 12 | Real Salt Lake | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 13 | Minnesota United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 14 | Philadelphia Union | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 15 | Nashville SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 16 | San Diego FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 17 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 18 | Seattle Sounders | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)
