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Minsk FK W vs Dnepr Mogilev W

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Women 2025 Stadium FC Minsk, Minsk
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Match Events

23'
Sub
Nalugya S. In: Kupryianchyk M.
Out: Nalugya S.
24' Event
Shuppo A.
(Penalty)
36'
Belaya V.

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga Women 2025 game between Minsk FK W and Dnepr Mogilev W finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Minsk FK W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Minsk FK W
6%
Draws
4%
Dnepr Mogilev W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Minsk FK W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Minsk FK W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Minsk FK W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • Minsk FK W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Minsk FK W Clean Sheet 10%
Dnepr Mogilev W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minsk FK W Dnepr Mogilev W
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 27 20
Draws 2 4
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 4.88 5
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 4.88 5.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Vysshaya Liga Women
Minsk FK W vs Dnepr Mogilev W
3:1
Sep 20, 2025 Vysshaya Liga Women
Minsk FK W vs Dnepr Mogilev W
4:2
Aug 4, 2025 Vysshaya Liga Women
Minsk FK W vs Dnepr Mogilev W
5:0
May 13, 2025 Vysshaya Liga Women
Dnepr Mogilev W vs Minsk FK W
3:1
Sep 28, 2024 Vysshaya Liga Women
Minsk FK W vs Dnepr Mogilev W
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Minsk FK W Compare

Top Goalscorer Shuppo A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Valyuk V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.75
Avg xA / game 2.44

Dnepr Mogilev W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsybulskaya P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 4.55
Avg xA / game 2.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minsk FK W 83 / 100
Dnepr Mogilev W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minsk FK W Dnepr Mogilev W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Minsk FK W's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Minsk FK W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Dnepr Mogilev W let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Minsk FK W VS Dnepr Mogilev W
4.88 Goals Scored 5
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Minsk FK W

(Home)
19 Jul
Naftan W
0 : 4
Minsk FK W
11 Jul
Minsk FK W
12 : 0
Dyussh-Polesgu W
27 Jun
Smorgon W
0 : 6
Minsk FK W
20 Jun
Minsk FK W
8 : 0
FC Gomel W
14 Jun
Vitebsk W
0 : 3
Minsk FK W
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Dnepr Mogilev W

(Away)
18 Jul
Dnepr Mogilev W
2 : 3
Dynamo Brest W
10 Jul
SKA-1938 Minsk W
0 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev W
27 Jun
Dnepr Mogilev W
5 : 1
Belarus U19 W
21 Jun
Belshina W
0 : 4
Dnepr Mogilev W
14 Jun
Naftan W
1 : 4
Dnepr Mogilev W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Din. Minsk W302820136:1386
2Minsk FK W302334167:2372
3Dnepr Mogilev W30187572:2961
4Vitebsk W30194766:3661
5Dynamo Brest W30156968:3151
6SKA-1938 Minsk W301431379:4245
7Naftan W30931834:7630
8Belarus U19 W30691529:5927
9Belshina W30642035:11622
10Dyussh-Polesgu W30322514:14711
11FC Gomel W30132616:1446
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)