Sport Picks
Minyor Pernik vs Cherno More
Bulgaria
Bulgarian Cup 2025/2026 Stadion Minyor, Pernik 
Match Events
51'
51'
Gustavo Franca
(Penalty)
70'
70'
Sidney C.
81'
81'
Sidney C.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-3, with Cherno More advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Minyor Pernik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Minyor Pernik haven't matched Cherno More's recent run of results.
- Model gives Minyor Pernik a 51% chance of winning this.
- Cherno More arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Cherno More, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Cherno More have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Minyor Pernik Clean Sheet 20%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Minyor Pernik | Cherno More |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 29, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
Minyor Pernik vs Cherno More
0:3
Sep 23, 2021 Bulgarian Cup
Minyor Pernik vs Cherno More
0:2
May 22, 2013 efbet League
Minyor Pernik vs Cherno More
0:2
Nov 28, 2012 efbet League
Cherno More vs Minyor Pernik
2:0
Jul 24, 2012 Club Friendly
Cherno More vs Minyor Pernik
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Minyor Pernik Compare
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Cherno More Compare
Top Goalscorer Sidney C.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Minyor Pernik 85 / 100
Cherno More 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Minyor Pernik Cherno More
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Minyor Pernik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Minyor Pernik has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Minyor Pernik scored in 70% of their last 27 games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Cherno More let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Minyor Pernik VS Cherno More
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Minyor Pernik
(Home) 26 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
0 : 2 Minyor Pernik
19 Sept
Minyor Pernik
2 : 0 Kyustendil
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2 Minyor Pernik
05 Sept
Minyor Pernik
5 : 2 Strumska Slava
29 Aug
Oborishte Panagyurishte
0 : 0 Minyor Pernik
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Minyor Pernik
2 : 0 Kyustendil
05 Sept
Minyor Pernik
5 : 2 Strumska Slava
22 Aug
Minyor Pernik
1 : 2 Bansko
15 Aug
Minyor Pernik
1 : 1 Belasitsa Petrich
01 Aug
Minyor Pernik
1 : 0 Natsional Sofia
Page 1 of 3
Cherno More
(Away) 26 Sept
Cherno More
1 : 0 Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1 Cherno More
11 Sept
Cherno More
2 : 2 Lok. Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0 Cherno More
30 Aug
CSKA Sofia
3 : 1 Cherno More
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1 Cherno More
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0 Cherno More
30 Aug
CSKA Sofia
3 : 1 Cherno More
14 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
4 : 1 Cherno More
01 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 0 Cherno More
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Bdin Vidin 2
Etar 1
TBD -
Dobrudzha -
Zagorets -
TBD -
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Partizan Cerven Brjag 0
Minyor Pernik 2
TBD -
Cherno More -
Germaneya 0
Fratria 4
TBD -
Arda -
Benkovski 0
Dunav Ruse 4
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Septemvri Tervel 0
Marek 3
TBD -
Montana -
Yambol 1915 2
Vihren 1
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
OFC Haskovo 0
Spartak Pleven 4
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Svoge 4
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
FC Lovech 0
Chernomorets 1919 5
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Pernik 1
Hebar 8
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Bistritsa 2
Gorna 1
TBD -
Beroe -
Chernolomets 2
Sevlievo 4
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Rilski Sportist 2
Belasitsa Petrich 1
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 1
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Kom Berkovitsa 0
Yantra Gabrovo 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
1/16-finals
Bdin Vidin 2
Dobrudzha 7
Zagorets 1
Botev Vratsa 4
Minyor Pernik 0
Cherno More 3
Fratria 1
Arda 2
Dunav Ruse 1
Lok. Plovdiv 2
Marek 1
Montana 4
Yambol 1915 1
Spartak Varna 3
Spartak Pleven 0
Botev Plovdiv 4
Svoge 0
Septemvri Sofia 2
Chernomorets 1919 2
Ludogorets 3
Hebar 0
Levski Sofia 3
Bistritsa 1
Beroe 0
Sevlievo 1
CSKA Sofia 2
Rilski Sportist 2
Lok. Sofia 3
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Slavia Sofia 2
Yantra Gabrovo 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia 4
1/8-finals
Dobrudzha 0
Botev Vratsa 1
Cherno More 0
Arda 3
Lok. Plovdiv 4
Montana 0
Spartak Varna 0
Botev Plovdiv 2
Septemvri Sofia 1
Ludogorets 3
Levski Sofia 3
Bistritsa 0
CSKA Sofia 2
Lok. Sofia 1
Slavia Sofia 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia 3
Quarter-finals
Botev Vratsa 2
Arda 3
Lok. Plovdiv 1
Botev Plovdiv 0
Ludogorets 1
Levski Sofia 0
CSKA Sofia 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia 0
Semi-finals
Arda 1
Lok. Plovdiv 5
Ludogorets 1
CSKA Sofia 2
Final
Lok. Plovdiv 1
CSKA Sofia 2
