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Minyor Pernik vs CSKA Sofia III - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West Stadion Minyor, Pernik
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Minyor Pernik host CSKA Sofia III in the Third League - South-West. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Minyor Pernik at 1.76 goals for, 1.07 against; CSKA Sofia III at 1.07 for, 0.82 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.31 - 0.56) back Minyor Pernik to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Minyor Pernik
30%
Draws
19%
CSKA Sofia III
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Minyor Pernik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Minyor Pernik lately — more wins on the board than CSKA Sofia III.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Minyor Pernik taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Minyor Pernik Clean Sheet 20%
CSKA Sofia III Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minyor Pernik CSKA Sofia III
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 11
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.76 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minyor Pernik 85 / 100
CSKA Sofia III 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minyor Pernik CSKA Sofia III

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minyor Pernik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Minyor Pernik has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Minyor Pernik scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: CSKA Sofia III conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

CSKA Sofia III lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Minyor Pernik VS CSKA Sofia III
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Minyor Pernik

(Home)
31 Oct
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 4
Minyor Pernik
28 Oct
Minyor Pernik
3 : 0
Kostinbrod
24 Oct
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 0
Minyor Pernik
18 Oct
Minyor Pernik
3 : 0
Septemvri Sofia 2
10 Oct
Levski Sofia II
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
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CSKA Sofia III

(Away)
31 Oct
CSKA Sofia III
0 : 1
Pirin Razlog
28 Oct
Natsional Sofia
2 : 2
CSKA Sofia III
24 Oct
CSKA Sofia III
0 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
17 Oct
Belasitsa Petrich
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia III
10 Oct
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia III
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