Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Minyor Pernik vs Dunav Ruse

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2025/2026 Stadion Minyor, Pernik
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Aleksandrov A.
(Penalty)
22'
Minchev D.
46'
Sub
Viktorov R. In: Petrov V.
Out: Viktorov R.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga 2025/2026 game between Minyor Pernik and Dunav Ruse finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dunav Ruse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Minyor Pernik
30%
Draws
23%
Dunav Ruse
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Minyor Pernik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Minyor Pernik come out ahead of Dunav Ruse on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Minyor Pernik taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Dunav Ruse have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Minyor Pernik Clean Sheet 68%
Dunav Ruse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minyor Pernik Dunav Ruse
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 7 6
Draws 5 11
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.11 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Vtora liga
Minyor Pernik vs Dunav Ruse
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 Vtora liga
Dunav Ruse vs Minyor Pernik
2:0
Mar 9, 2025 Vtora liga
Minyor Pernik vs Dunav Ruse
0:2
Aug 25, 2024 Vtora liga
Dunav Ruse vs Minyor Pernik
1:0
May 20, 2023 Vtora liga
Dunav Ruse vs Minyor Pernik
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Minyor Pernik Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Dunav Ruse Compare

Top Goalscorer Rufe I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boychev K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minyor Pernik 95 / 100
Dunav Ruse 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minyor Pernik Dunav Ruse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minyor Pernik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Minyor Pernik scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Dunav Ruse conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Minyor Pernik remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Minyor Pernik VS Dunav Ruse
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Minyor Pernik

(Home)
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
05 Sept
Minyor Pernik
5 : 2
Strumska Slava
29 Aug
Oborishte Panagyurishte
0 : 0
Minyor Pernik
22 Aug
Minyor Pernik
1 : 2
Bansko
15 Aug
Minyor Pernik
1 : 1
Belasitsa Petrich
Page 1 of 6

Dunav Ruse

(Away)
12 Sept
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse
07 Sept
Dunav Ruse
0 : 1
Slavia Sofia
31 Aug
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
21 Aug
Cherno More
3 : 1
Dunav Ruse
16 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 2
Dunav Ruse
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dunav Ruse 32 20 9 3 53:16 69
2 Yantra Gabrovo 32 18 10 4 45:24 64
3 Fratria 32 18 9 5 61:29 63
4 Vihren 32 17 7 8 59:34 58
5 CSKA Sofia II 32 16 7 9 57:32 55
6 Chernomorets 1919 32 11 13 8 38:32 46
7 Etar 32 11 11 10 39:43 44
8 Ludogorets II 32 11 8 13 41:43 41
9 Marek 32 10 11 11 27:35 41
10 Hebar 32 11 7 14 41:51 40
11 Pirin Blagoevgrad 32 9 11 12 38:41 38
12 Spartak Pleven 32 9 8 15 37:45 35
13 Svoge 32 9 7 16 28:48 34
14 Gorna 32 8 9 15 33:52 33
15 Sevlievo 32 9 5 18 29:52 32
16 Minyor Pernik 32 7 9 16 32:45 30
17 Belasitsa Petrich 32 4 7 21 26:62 19
Promotion - efbet League (Main)
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Relegation)