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Minyor Pernik vs Kostinbrod - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West Stadion Minyor, Pernik
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Minyor Pernik host Kostinbrod in the Third League - South-West. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Kostinbrod have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Minyor Pernik have conceded 1.18 and scored 1.61. Past meetings favor Minyor Pernik slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 18, 2024, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.56 - 1.13) back Minyor Pernik to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Minyor Pernik
15%
Draws
36%
Kostinbrod
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Minyor Pernik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Kostinbrod carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Minyor Pernik's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Minyor Pernik Clean Sheet 20%
Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minyor Pernik Kostinbrod
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 14
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.61 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Minyor Pernik
1:3
Nov 3, 2023 Third League - South-West
Minyor Pernik vs Kostinbrod
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minyor Pernik 58 / 100
Kostinbrod 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minyor Pernik Kostinbrod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minyor Pernik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Minyor Pernik scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Kostinbrod conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Minyor Pernik has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Minyor Pernik VS Kostinbrod
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Minyor Pernik

(Home)
18 Oct
Minyor Pernik
3 : 0
Septemvri Sofia 2
10 Oct
Levski Sofia II
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
07 Oct
Minyor Pernik
5 : 1
Slavia Sofia 2
04 Oct
Minyor Pernik
1 : 2
Beroe
26 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
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Kostinbrod

(Away)
10 Oct
Kostinbrod
5 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
03 Oct
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0
Kostinbrod
26 Sept
Kostinbrod
0 : 1
Balkan Botevgrad
19 Sept
Belasitsa Petrich
0 : 1
Kostinbrod
12 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3
Kostinbrod
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