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Minyor Pernik vs Strumska Slava

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West Stadion Minyor, Pernik
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West game between Minyor Pernik and Strumska Slava finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Minyor Pernik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Minyor Pernik
30%
Draws
39%
Strumska Slava
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Strumska Slava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Strumska Slava carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Minyor Pernik Clean Sheet 16%
Strumska Slava Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minyor Pernik Strumska Slava
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.11 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Third League - South-West
Minyor Pernik vs Strumska Slava
5:2
May 24, 2025 Vtora liga
Minyor Pernik vs Strumska Slava
4:1
Nov 30, 2024 Vtora liga
Strumska Slava vs Minyor Pernik
0:0
May 1, 2023 Vtora liga
Minyor Pernik vs Strumska Slava
1:1
Oct 4, 2022 Vtora liga
Strumska Slava vs Minyor Pernik
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minyor Pernik 30 / 100
Strumska Slava 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minyor Pernik Strumska Slava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minyor Pernik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Minyor Pernik scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Strumska Slava has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Minyor Pernik went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Minyor Pernik VS Strumska Slava
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Minyor Pernik

(Home)
05 Sept
Minyor Pernik
5 : 2
Strumska Slava
29 Aug
Oborishte Panagyurishte
0 : 0
Minyor Pernik
22 Aug
Minyor Pernik
1 : 2
Bansko
15 Aug
Minyor Pernik
1 : 1
Belasitsa Petrich
08 Aug
Pirin Razlog
0 : 3
Minyor Pernik
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Strumska Slava

(Away)
05 Sept
Minyor Pernik
5 : 2
Strumska Slava
29 Aug
Strumska Slava
3 : 0
Pirin Razlog
22 Aug
Natsional Sofia
0 : 3
Strumska Slava
15 Aug
Strumska Slava
2 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
08 Aug
CSKA Sofia III
0 : 0
Strumska Slava
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