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Minyor Pernik vs Yantra Gabrovo

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Minyor
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Minyor Pernik play Yantra Gabrovo in the Vtora liga. Yantra Gabrovo are favorites here. Recently, Minyor Pernik averaged 0.81 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. Yantra Gabrovo averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Minyor Pernik won 1, Yantra Gabrovo won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 3, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Minyor Pernik and 1.44 for Yantra Gabrovo. This points to a Yantra Gabrovo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Minyor Pernik
17%
Draws
58%
Yantra Gabrovo
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Yantra Gabrovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Minyor Pernik picked up more points recently compared to Yantra Gabrovo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Minyor Pernik Clean Sheet 16%
Yantra Gabrovo Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minyor Pernik Yantra Gabrovo
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.81 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.56 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Vtora liga
Minyor Pernik vs Yantra Gabrovo
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Vtora liga
Yantra Gabrovo vs Minyor Pernik
1:0
May 8, 2025 Vtora liga
Minyor Pernik vs Yantra Gabrovo
0:2
Nov 9, 2024 Vtora liga
Yantra Gabrovo vs Minyor Pernik
1:0
Jun 4, 2023 Vtora liga
Minyor Pernik vs Yantra Gabrovo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Minyor Pernik Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Yantra Gabrovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Angelov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minyor Pernik 26 / 100
Yantra Gabrovo 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minyor Pernik Yantra Gabrovo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yantra Gabrovo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Yantra Gabrovo & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Minyor Pernik attacking → ← attacking Yantra Gabrovo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Minyor Pernik scored in 52% of their last 27 games.

Yantra Gabrovo let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Minyor Pernik went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Yantra Gabrovo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 45
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dunav Ruse32209353:1669
2Yantra Gabrovo321810445:2464
3Fratria32189561:2963
4Vihren32177859:3458
5CSKA Sofia II32167957:3255
6Chernomorets 1919321113838:3246
7Etar3211111039:4344
8Ludogorets II321181341:4341
9Marek3210111127:3541
10Hebar321171441:5140
11Pirin Blagoevgrad329111238:4138
12Spartak Pleven32981537:4535
13Svoge32971628:4834
14Gorna32891533:5233
15Sevlievo32951829:5232
16Minyor Pernik32791632:4530
17Belasitsa Petrich32472126:6219