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Miramar vs Auckland City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Miramar host Auckland City in the National League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Auckland City have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Miramar have conceded 1.93 and scored 2.1. Head-to-head, Miramar have won 2 to Auckland City's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 15, 2025, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.88) point toward Auckland City. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Miramar
20%
Draws
45%
Auckland City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Auckland City have won more games recently than Miramar.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Miramar have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Miramar Clean Sheet 10%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miramar Auckland City
Matches Played 29 44
Wins 12 30
Draws 3 6
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 2.1 2
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 National League
Miramar vs Auckland City
3:0
Nov 20, 2022 National League
Auckland City vs Miramar
2:1
Jul 31, 2021 Chatham Cup
Miramar vs Auckland City
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miramar 30 / 100
Auckland City 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miramar Auckland City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Miramar scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Auckland City let in goals in 68% of their last 44 matches.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Miramar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Miramar VS Auckland City
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Miramar

(Home)
10 Oct
Ferrymead Bays
1 : 4
Miramar
03 Oct
Miramar
2 : 1
Auckland FC 2
26 Sept
Napier City
1 : 1
Miramar
26 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Miramar
04 Jul
Island Bay
1 : 3
Miramar
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Auckland City

(Away)
10 Oct
Auckland City
2 : 2
Wellington Olympic
03 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
2 : 4
Auckland City
22 Aug
Auckland City
2 : 0
Central Coast
19 Aug
Auckland City
3 : 1
Rewa
16 Aug
Auckland City
4 : 3
Venus
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Miramar 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Cashmere Technical 3 2 0 1 15:2 6
3 Auckland United 3 1 2 0 10:4 5
4 Auckland City 2 1 1 0 6:4 4
5 Wellington Olympic 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
6 Ferrymead Bays 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
7 Napier City 3 1 1 1 4:9 4
8 Birkenhead 2 1 0 1 1:4 3
9 Auckland FC 2 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
10 Eastern Suburbs 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
11 Wellington Phoenix 2 3 0 1 2 1:12 1
Promotion - National League (Grand Final)