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Miramar vs Central United

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2003
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-2, with Miramar advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Miramar
15%
Draws
42%
Central United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Miramar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Central United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Miramar's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Central United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Miramar, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Miramar Clean Sheet 13%
Central United Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miramar Central United
Matches Played 37 32
Wins 16 20
Draws 2 0
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 2.16 2.59
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2012 Chatham Cup
Miramar vs Central United
0:6
Jun 8, 2003 Football Championship
Miramar vs Central United
5:2
May 18, 2003 Football Championship
Miramar vs Central United
2:1
Mar 15, 2003 Football Championship
Central United vs Miramar
3:2
Mar 31, 2002 Football Championship
Central United vs Miramar
3:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miramar 66 / 100
Central United 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miramar Central United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Miramar scored in 89% of their last 37 games.

Historical meetings average 5.80 goals per match.

Central United let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Miramar has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Miramar VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Miramar

(Home)
26 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Miramar
04 Jul
Island Bay
1 : 3
Miramar
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1
Miramar
29 Nov
Miramar
2 : 1
Western Suburbs
23 Nov
Birkenhead
1 : 4
Miramar
Page 1 of 8

Central United

(Away)
14 Jul
Central United
0 : 5
East Coast
10 Sept
Central United
3 : 4
Onehunga
26 Aug
Central United
5 : 0
Bay Olympic
06 Aug
Central United
2 : 0
Wairarapa United
16 Jul
Central United
4 : 0
North Shore
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Central United 3
Napier City 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Miramar 0
East Auckland 2
Semi-finals
Central United 2
Miramar 5
TBD -
East Auckland -
Final
Miramar 3
East Auckland 2