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Miramar vs Cerrito - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Parque Palermo, Montevideo
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Miramar host Cerrito in the Segunda Division. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Miramar have averaged 0.96 scored and 1.22 conceded recently, against Cerrito's 1.28 scored and 1.24 conceded. Past meetings favor Miramar slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 12, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.94 - 1.00) back Cerrito to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Miramar
15%
Draws
37%
Cerrito
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Miramar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cerrito come out ahead of Miramar on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Miramar Clean Sheet 20%
Cerrito Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miramar Cerrito
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.96 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Miramar
1:0
Nov 4, 2023 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Miramar
1:6
Jun 18, 2023 Segunda Division
Miramar vs Cerrito
2:2
Apr 2, 2023 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Miramar
2:2
Aug 18, 2018 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Miramar
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miramar 31 / 100
Cerrito 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miramar Cerrito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Miramar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Miramar found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Cerrito conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Miramar has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Miramar VS Cerrito
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Miramar

(Home)
03 Oct
Miramar
1 : 0
Paysandu FC
27 Sept
Huracan FC
2 : 1
Miramar
19 Sept
Miramar
1 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
12 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 3
Miramar
05 Sept
Miramar
0 : 1
Colon
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Cerrito

(Away)
07 Oct
Cerrito
2 : 3
Wanderers
04 Oct
Plaza Colonia
1 : 3
Cerrito
27 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 2
La Luz
23 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 3
Cerrito
20 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 1
River Plate Montevideo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 21 12 4 5 30:18 40
2 Rentistas 21 9 6 6 26:23 33
3 Club Oriental De Futbol 21 8 8 5 29:22 32
4 Plaza Colonia 21 9 5 7 26:21 32
5 River Plate Montevideo 21 8 6 7 31:26 30
6 Colon 21 8 6 7 20:23 30
7 Fenix 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
8 Cerrito 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
9 La Luz 21 7 6 8 19:24 27
10 Huracan FC 21 7 5 9 22:28 26
11 Paysandu FC 21 7 4 10 26:28 25
12 Miramar 21 6 7 8 23:26 25
13 Tacuarembo 21 6 6 9 16:23 24
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 21 4 5 12 19:31 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)