Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Miramar vs Colon

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Parque Palermo, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Airaldi B.

AI Match Summary

Colon in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Miramar
30%
Draws
23%
Colon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Miramar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Colon lately — more wins on the board than Miramar.
  • Win probability leans Colon's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Miramar Clean Sheet 18%
Colon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miramar Colon
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.89 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Segunda Division
Miramar vs Colon
0:1
May 30, 2026 Segunda Division
Colon vs Miramar
1:3
Apr 18, 2026 Segunda Division
Miramar vs Colon
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Miramar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Colon Compare

Top Goalscorer Airaldi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miramar 23 / 100
Colon 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miramar Colon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colon has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Miramar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Colon registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Miramar VS Colon
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Miramar

(Home)
19 Sept
Miramar
1 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
12 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 3
Miramar
05 Sept
Miramar
0 : 1
Colon
30 Aug
Fenix
1 : 1
Miramar
21 Aug
Miramar
1 : 1
Rentistas
Page 1 of 6

Colon

(Away)
23 Sept
Liverpool M.
3 : 0
Colon
19 Sept
Fenix
1 : 1
Colon
13 Sept
Colon
0 : 1
Rentistas
09 Sept
Boston River
2 : 0
Colon
05 Sept
Miramar
0 : 1
Colon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 19 11 3 5 29:18 36
2 Plaza Colonia 19 9 4 6 25:18 31
3 Colon 19 8 5 6 20:20 29
4 Club Oriental De Futbol 19 7 7 5 26:20 28
5 River Plate Montevideo 19 7 6 6 26:23 27
6 Rentistas 19 7 6 6 21:21 27
7 Fenix 19 6 8 5 23:21 26
8 Cerrito 19 6 8 5 23:21 26
9 Paysandu FC 19 7 3 9 24:25 24
10 Huracan FC 19 6 5 8 19:25 23
11 Tacuarembo 19 6 5 8 14:20 23
12 Miramar 19 5 7 7 21:24 22
13 La Luz 19 5 6 8 14:21 21
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 19 4 5 10 18:26 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)