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Miramar vs Fenix

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Parque Palermo, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
de Freitas A.
76' Event
Barboza A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Miramar
28%
Draws
50%
Fenix
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Fenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Fenix have won more games recently than Miramar.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Fenix taking it.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Miramar Clean Sheet 16%
Fenix Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miramar Fenix
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Segunda Division
Miramar vs Fenix
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Fenix vs Miramar
0:0
Mar 8, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Miramar vs Fenix
1:1
Mar 22, 2014 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Fenix vs Miramar
2:1
Oct 27, 2013 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Miramar vs Fenix
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Miramar Compare

Top Goalscorer de Freitas A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Fenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Barboza A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miramar 23 / 100
Fenix 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miramar Fenix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fenix has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Miramar's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Miramar went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Miramar VS Fenix
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Miramar

(Home)
01 Aug
Plaza Colonia
3 : 0
Miramar
26 Jul
Miramar
0 : 1
La Luz
12 Jul
Cerrito
1 : 0
Miramar
06 Jul
Miramar
1 : 1
Atenas
27 Jun
Paysandu FC
2 : 3
Miramar
Page 1 of 6

Fenix

(Away)
02 Aug
Cerrito
1 : 1
Fenix
26 Jul
Fenix
1 : 0
Atenas
13 Jul
Paysandu FC
1 : 0
Fenix
05 Jul
Fenix
2 : 0
Huracan FC
27 Jun
Uruguay Montevideo FC
3 : 2
Fenix
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 12 7 1 4 22:13 22
2 Cerrito 12 5 5 2 16:14 20
3 Plaza Colonia 12 6 1 5 15:11 19
4 Rentistas 12 5 3 4 16:15 18
5 River Plate Montevideo 12 5 3 4 18:18 18
6 Fenix 12 4 5 3 16:13 17
7 Tacuarembo 12 5 2 5 9:12 17
8 Paysandu FC 12 5 1 6 17:18 16
9 La Luz 12 4 4 4 11:13 16
10 Club Oriental De Futbol 12 3 6 3 17:15 15
11 Colon 12 4 3 5 13:16 15
12 Miramar 12 3 4 5 14:16 13
13 Uruguay Montevideo FC 12 3 3 6 14:17 12
14 Huracan FC 12 3 3 6 9:16 12
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)