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Miramar vs Fenix Prediction & H2H Stats

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Parque Palermo, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
de Freitas A.
76' Event
Barboza A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Miramar
20%
Draws
29%
Fenix
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Miramar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Fenix have won more games recently than Miramar.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Miramar taking it.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Miramar Clean Sheet 68%
Fenix Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miramar Fenix
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.89 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Miramar
1:1
May 25, 2026 Segunda Division
Miramar vs Fenix
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Fenix vs Miramar
0:0
Mar 8, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Miramar vs Fenix
1:1
Mar 22, 2014 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Fenix vs Miramar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Miramar Compare

Top Goalscorer de Freitas A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Fenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Barboza A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miramar 59 / 100
Fenix 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miramar Fenix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Miramar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fenix has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Miramar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Fenix lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Miramar VS Fenix
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Miramar

(Home)
27 Sept
Huracan FC
2 : 1
Miramar
19 Sept
Miramar
1 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
12 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 3
Miramar
05 Sept
Miramar
0 : 1
Colon
30 Aug
Fenix
1 : 1
Miramar
Page 1 of 6

Fenix

(Away)
26 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
3 : 2
Fenix
23 Sept
Boston River
3 : 2
Fenix
19 Sept
Fenix
1 : 1
Colon
13 Sept
River Plate Montevideo
0 : 1
Fenix
06 Sept
Rentistas
2 : 1
Fenix
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 20 11 4 5 29:18 37
2 Plaza Colonia 20 9 5 6 25:18 32
3 Club Oriental De Futbol 20 8 7 5 29:22 31
4 River Plate Montevideo 20 8 6 6 29:23 30
5 Rentistas 20 8 6 6 24:22 30
6 Colon 20 8 5 7 20:23 29
7 Fenix 20 6 8 6 25:24 26
8 Cerrito 20 6 8 6 24:23 26
9 Huracan FC 20 7 5 8 21:26 26
10 Paysandu FC 20 7 4 9 26:27 25
11 Tacuarembo 20 6 6 8 16:22 24
12 La Luz 20 6 6 8 16:22 24
13 Miramar 20 5 7 8 22:26 22
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 20 4 5 11 19:29 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)