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Miramar vs Hamilton

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hamilton in this Chatham Cup 2022 tie, finishing 3-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Miramar
15%
Draws
42%
Hamilton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Miramar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Miramar have won more games recently than Hamilton.
  • Miramar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Miramar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hamilton, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Miramar Clean Sheet 10%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miramar Hamilton
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 2 7
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 2.07 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2022 Chatham Cup
Miramar vs Hamilton
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miramar 83 / 100
Hamilton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miramar Hamilton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Miramar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Miramar found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Hamilton conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Miramar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Miramar VS Hamilton
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Miramar

(Home)
26 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Miramar
04 Jul
Island Bay
1 : 3
Miramar
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1
Miramar
29 Nov
Miramar
2 : 1
Western Suburbs
23 Nov
Birkenhead
1 : 4
Miramar
Page 1 of 6

Hamilton

(Away)
29 Jul
Hamilton
0 : 3
Christchurch
09 Jul
Hamilton
3 : 2
Ngaruawahia AFC
20 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 0
Hamilton
30 Jul
Miramar
3 : 4
Hamilton
09 Jul
Auckland United
0 : 1
Hamilton
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Dunedin City Royals 3
Nelson Suburbs FC 1
Bay Olympic 1
Auckland City 2
Napier City 0
Wellington Olympic 4
Cashmere Technical 9
Green Island AFC 0
Melville 1
Waiheke United 2
Birkenhead 0
Eastern Suburbs 2
Miramar 5
Western Suburbs 1
Auckland United 0
Hamilton 1
Quarter-finals
Dunedin City Royals 0
Auckland City 6
Wellington Olympic 3
Cashmere Technical 2
Waiheke United 0
Eastern Suburbs 1
Miramar 3
Hamilton 4
Semi-finals
Auckland City 3
Wellington Olympic 1
Eastern Suburbs 1
Hamilton 0
Final
Auckland City 1
Eastern Suburbs 0