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Miramar vs Paysandu FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Parque Palermo, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Gomez Silvera J. M.
45' Event
Plada G.
Penalty Missed
45' Event
de Freitas A.

AI Match Summary

Miramar in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Miramar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Miramar
20%
Draws
29%
Paysandu FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Miramar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Paysandu FC have won more games recently than Miramar.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Miramar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Miramar Clean Sheet 68%
Paysandu FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miramar Paysandu FC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.93 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Segunda Division
Miramar vs Paysandu FC
1:0
Jun 27, 2026 Segunda Division
Paysandu FC vs Miramar
2:3
Mar 27, 2026 Segunda Division
Paysandu FC vs Miramar
2:0
Jan 27, 2026 Serie Rio de la Plata
Paysandu FC vs Miramar
0:0
Oct 30, 2005 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Miramar vs Paysandu FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Miramar Compare

Top Goalscorer de Freitas A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Paysandu FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miramar 59 / 100
Paysandu FC 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miramar Paysandu FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Miramar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paysandu FC let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Miramar scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Miramar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Miramar VS Paysandu FC
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Miramar

(Home)
03 Oct
Miramar
1 : 0
Paysandu FC
27 Sept
Huracan FC
2 : 1
Miramar
19 Sept
Miramar
1 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
12 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 3
Miramar
05 Sept
Miramar
0 : 1
Colon
Page 1 of 6

Paysandu FC

(Away)
03 Oct
Miramar
1 : 0
Paysandu FC
28 Sept
Paysandu FC
2 : 2
Tacuarembo
19 Sept
Plaza Colonia
1 : 1
Paysandu FC
12 Sept
Paysandu FC
0 : 1
La Luz
05 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 2
Paysandu FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 21 12 4 5 30:18 40
2 River Plate Montevideo 22 9 6 7 34:27 33
3 Rentistas 22 9 6 7 27:25 33
4 Colon 22 9 6 7 23:24 33
5 Club Oriental De Futbol 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
6 Plaza Colonia 21 9 5 7 26:21 32
7 Cerrito 22 8 8 6 29:25 32
8 Fenix 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
9 Paysandu FC 22 8 4 10 28:29 28
10 La Luz 21 7 6 8 19:24 27
11 Huracan FC 21 7 5 9 22:28 26
12 Miramar 21 6 7 8 23:26 25
13 Tacuarembo 22 6 6 10 17:25 24
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 22 4 5 13 20:34 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)