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Miramar vs Plaza Colonia

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Parque Palermo, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Lopez M.
89' Event
Redin M.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Miramar and Plaza Colonia finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Plaza Colonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Miramar
40%
Draws
29%
Plaza Colonia
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Plaza Colonia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Miramar Clean Sheet 68%
Plaza Colonia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miramar Plaza Colonia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Segunda Division
Miramar vs Plaza Colonia
0:2
Aug 3, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Plaza Colonia vs Miramar
1:3
Feb 2, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Miramar vs Plaza Colonia
0:1
Sep 1, 2018 Segunda Division
Miramar vs Plaza Colonia
3:1
Apr 7, 2018 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs Miramar
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Miramar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Plaza Colonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Redin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miramar 42 / 100
Plaza Colonia 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miramar Plaza Colonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plaza Colonia let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Plaza Colonia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Miramar scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Miramar VS Plaza Colonia
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Miramar

(Home)
26 Jul
Miramar
0 : 1
La Luz
12 Jul
Cerrito
1 : 0
Miramar
06 Jul
Miramar
1 : 1
Atenas
27 Jun
Paysandu FC
2 : 3
Miramar
19 Jun
Miramar
0 : 1
Huracan FC
Page 1 of 6

Plaza Colonia

(Away)
25 Jul
Tacuarembo
0 : 2
Plaza Colonia
11 Jul
River Plate Montevideo
3 : 2
Plaza Colonia
04 Jul
Plaza Colonia
1 : 0
La Luz
28 Jun
Cerrito
1 : 0
Plaza Colonia
20 Jun
Plaza Colonia
1 : 2
Atenas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fenix 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
2 Huracan FC 6 2 4 0 9:6 10
3 Uruguay Montevideo FC 6 2 3 1 7:5 9
4 Cerrito 6 2 3 1 8:8 9
5 La Luz 6 1 4 1 5:6 7
6 Atenas 6 1 1 4 5:11 4
7 Tacuarembo 6 0 3 3 5:9 3
Promotion - Segunda Division (Torneo Competencia - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Oriental De Futbol 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Plaza Colonia 6 3 3 0 9:2 12
3 Colon 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
4 Rentistas 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
5 Miramar 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
6 Paysandu FC 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
7 River Plate Montevideo 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Segunda Division (Torneo Competencia - Play Offs)