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Miramar vs Uruguay Montevideo FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Parque Palermo, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
de Freitas A.

AI Match Summary

Miramar in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Miramar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Miramar
15%
Draws
8%
Uruguay Montevideo FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Miramar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Uruguay Montevideo FC average 1 goals a game right now, well clear of Miramar's 0.96.
  • Model gives Miramar a 77% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Miramar Clean Sheet 68%
Uruguay Montevideo FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miramar Uruguay Montevideo FC
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.96 1
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Segunda Division
Miramar vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
1:0
Jun 13, 2026 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Miramar
1:3
Aug 27, 2023 Segunda Division
Miramar vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
1:1
May 6, 2023 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Miramar
1:2
Aug 28, 2022 Segunda Division
Miramar vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Miramar Compare

Top Goalscorer de Freitas A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Uruguay Montevideo FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miramar 95 / 100
Uruguay Montevideo FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miramar Uruguay Montevideo FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Miramar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Miramar scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Uruguay Montevideo FC conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Miramar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Miramar VS Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Miramar

(Home)
03 Oct
Miramar
1 : 0
Paysandu FC
27 Sept
Huracan FC
2 : 1
Miramar
19 Sept
Miramar
1 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
12 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 3
Miramar
05 Sept
Miramar
0 : 1
Colon
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Uruguay Montevideo FC

(Away)
04 Oct
Fenix
2 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
26 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3
Rentistas
19 Sept
Miramar
1 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
12 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
2 : 2
Tacuarembo
07 Sept
Plaza Colonia
1 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 21 12 4 5 30:18 40
2 Rentistas 21 9 6 6 26:23 33
3 Club Oriental De Futbol 21 8 8 5 29:22 32
4 Plaza Colonia 21 9 5 7 26:21 32
5 River Plate Montevideo 21 8 6 7 31:26 30
6 Colon 21 8 6 7 20:23 30
7 Fenix 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
8 Cerrito 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
9 La Luz 21 7 6 8 19:24 27
10 Huracan FC 21 7 5 9 22:28 26
11 Paysandu FC 21 7 4 10 26:28 25
12 Miramar 21 6 7 8 23:26 25
13 Tacuarembo 21 6 6 9 16:23 24
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 21 4 5 12 19:31 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)