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Mirandes B vs Arandina

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Gabriel S.
61' Event
Gabriel S.
74' Event
Gabriel S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 game between Mirandes B and Arandina finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mirandes B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Mirandes B
20%
Draws
70%
Arandina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arandina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mirandes B come out ahead of Arandina on wins alone.
  • Arandina are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Mirandes B Clean Sheet 10%
Arandina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mirandes B Arandina
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Mirandes B
2:1
Jan 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mirandes B vs Arandina
3:0
Mar 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Mirandes B
2:4
Oct 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mirandes B vs Arandina
1:3
Apr 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Mirandes B
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mirandes B Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel S.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Arandina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mirandes B 22 / 100
Arandina 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mirandes B Arandina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arandina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Mirandes B found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Arandina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Mirandes B remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mirandes B VS Arandina
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mirandes B

(Home)
27 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 0
Mirandes B
20 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 1
Leonesa B
13 Sept
Bembibre
1 : 1
Mirandes B
06 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 2
Palencia CF
22 Aug
UD Aretxabaleta
3 : 0
Mirandes B
Page 1 of 6

Arandina

(Away)
26 Sept
Arandina
1 : 0
Calasanz de Soria
20 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
3 : 4
Arandina
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1
Almazan
05 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Arandina
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0
Arandina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)