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Mirandes B vs Palencia CA

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
del Cura U.
60' Event
Gutierrez C.
65' Event
del Cura U.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 game between Mirandes B and Palencia CA finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mirandes B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mirandes B
40%
Draws
29%
Palencia CA
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Palencia CA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Mirandes B Clean Sheet 68%
Palencia CA Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mirandes B Palencia CA
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mirandes B vs Palencia CA
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Mirandes B
1:0
Apr 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Mirandes B
1:2
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mirandes B vs Palencia CA
0:0
Apr 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mirandes B vs Palencia CA
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mirandes B Compare

Top Goalscorer del Cura U.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Palencia CA Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mirandes B 42 / 100
Palencia CA 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mirandes B Palencia CA

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mirandes B's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Palencia CA has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Mirandes B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mirandes B VS Palencia CA
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Tordesillas34246462:2478
2Guijuelo34217654:2670
3Palencia CA34215848:2468
4Palencia CF342041059:3964
5Santa Marta Tormes34188853:3162
6Mansilles341512731:2757
7Almazan3412121049:3848
8Mirandes B341381343:3547
9La Virgen341281431:3744
10Villaralbo341191429:3742
11Leonesa B341261638:4342
12Arandina349101532:4637
13Colegios Diocesanos341061833:5436
14Bembibre348101638:5234
15Unionistas de Salamanca B346131532:4331
16CD Mojados347101728:5531
17Becerril34781941:6029
18Numancia B34662226:5624