Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mirandes vs Leonesa

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Anduva, Miranda de Ebro
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Fernandez C.
Assist: del Cura U.
34'
Fernandez C.
39'
Maestre S.

AI Match Summary

Mirandes in this LaLiga2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mirandes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Mirandes
39%
Draws
31%
Leonesa
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Leonesa haven't matched Mirandes's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Mirandes Clean Sheet 16%
Leonesa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mirandes Leonesa
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 4
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 LaLiga2
Mirandes vs Leonesa
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 LaLiga2
Leonesa vs Mirandes
3:2
Jul 30, 2016 Club Friendly
Mirandes vs Leonesa
0:2
Mar 27, 2011 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Leonesa vs Mirandes
0:2
Nov 7, 2010 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Mirandes vs Leonesa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mirandes Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Leonesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Chacon L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mirandes 30 / 100
Leonesa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mirandes Leonesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leonesa let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Mirandes's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Mirandes has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mirandes VS Leonesa
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mirandes

(Home)
31 May
Leganes
1 : 0
Mirandes
24 May
Mirandes
3 : 1
Granada CF
16 May
Real Sociedad B
2 : 2
Mirandes
10 May
Mirandes
0 : 1
Eibar
04 May
Almeria
4 : 2
Mirandes
Page 1 of 6

Leonesa

(Away)
30 May
Real Sociedad B
1 : 1
Leonesa
24 May
Leonesa
0 : 2
Burgos CF
16 May
Leonesa
2 : 1
Eibar
09 May
Albacete
2 : 1
Leonesa
02 May
Leonesa
2 : 2
Cadiz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Racing Santander422571090:6182
2Dep. A Coruna422211965:4477
3Almeria422281281:6374
4Malaga4221101175:5273
5Las Palmas422013957:4073
6Castellon4220121070:5172
7Burgos CF4220121048:3372
8Eibar4219101352:4067
9Cordoba4217101557:6161
10Gijon421871760:5461
11AD Ceuta4217101551:6361
12Albacete4216111556:5559
13FC Andorra4216101662:5458
14Granada CF4212121850:5648
15Real Sociedad B4212111952:6147
16Leganes4211131843:5146
17Valladolid4212102044:5746
18Cadiz4211102141:6143
19Mirandes4210102247:6940
20Huesca429112241:6338
21Leonesa429102339:6837
22Zaragoza428122235:5936
Promotion - LaLiga (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)