Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019

Sao Martinho

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mirandes play Sao Martinho in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019. Sao Martinho are favorites here. Recently, Mirandes averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Sao Martinho averaged 0.94 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Mirandes won 0, Sao Martinho won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 17, 2019 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Mirandes and 1.24 for Sao Martinho. This points to a Sao Martinho double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Mirandes

15%

Draws

63%

Sao Martinho

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Martinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence

Mirandes picked up more points recently compared to Sao Martinho.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.24 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Mirandes Clean Sheet 19%

Sao Martinho Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mirandes	Sao Martinho
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	5	12
Draws	3	4
Losses	22	16
Goals Scored	0.87	0.94
Goals Conceded	1.87	1.34

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Mirandes vs Sao Martinho

Possession: 44% - 47% Cards: 2 - 2

0:2

Oct 28, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Sao Martinho vs Mirandes

Possession: 56% - 46% Cards: 0 - 4

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mirandes 24 / 100

Sao Martinho 60 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mirandes Sao Martinho

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Martinho Win (2)

Secondary Pick Sao Martinho & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +57.1%

7.14

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mirandes attacking → ← attacking Sao Martinho

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mirandes scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Sao Martinho let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Mirandes went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sao Martinho lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 40

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vizela	32	23	6	3	73:13	75
2	AD Fafe	32	21	7	4	59:24	70
3	Sao Martinho	32	20	9	3	51:20	69
4	Trofense	32	20	7	5	60:24	67
5	FC Felgueiras	32	20	4	8	55:33	64
6	SC Mirandela	32	14	7	11	49:41	49
7	Chaves B	32	13	8	11	55:41	47
8	Merelinense	32	10	12	10	38:38	42
9	CDC Montalegre	32	10	10	12	37:50	40
10	Pedras Salgadas	32	11	6	15	43:52	39
11	Maria de Fonte	32	9	10	13	41:50	37
12	AD Oliveirense	32	10	7	15	40:55	37
13	AD Limianos	32	10	7	15	31:45	37
14	GD Uniao Torcatense	32	8	5	19	29:60	29
15	Mirandes	32	5	6	21	26:53	21
16	Cacadores Taipas	32	4	6	22	27:64	18
17	Vilaverdense FC	32	4	3	25	28:79	15
18	Gil Vicente	0	0	0	0	0:0	0