Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mirandes vs SC Mirandela

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mirandes play SC Mirandela in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019. SC Mirandela are favorites here. Recently, Mirandes averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. SC Mirandela averaged 0.84 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. In past meetings, Mirandes won 1, SC Mirandela won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 12, 2019 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Mirandes and 1.11 for SC Mirandela. This points to a SC Mirandela double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Mirandes
15%
Draws
56%
SC Mirandela
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Mirandela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Mirandes picked up more points recently compared to SC Mirandela.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Mirandes Clean Sheet 21%
SC Mirandela Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mirandes SC Mirandela
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 12
Draws 3 2
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 0.87 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.28

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Mirandes vs SC Mirandela
4:1
Jan 13, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Mirandela vs Mirandes
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mirandes 30 / 100
SC Mirandela 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mirandes SC Mirandela

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Mirandela Win (2)
Secondary Pick SC Mirandela & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mirandes attacking → ← attacking SC Mirandela

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mirandes scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

SC Mirandela let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Mirandes went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

SC Mirandela lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 38
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vizela32236373:1375
2AD Fafe32217459:2470
3Sao Martinho32209351:2069
4Trofense32207560:2467
5FC Felgueiras32204855:3364
6SC Mirandela321471149:4149
7Chaves B321381155:4147
8Merelinense3210121038:3842
9CDC Montalegre3210101237:5040
10Pedras Salgadas321161543:5239
11Maria de Fonte329101341:5037
12AD Oliveirense321071540:5537
13AD Limianos321071531:4537
14GD Uniao Torcatense32851929:6029
15Mirandes32562126:5321
16Cacadores Taipas32462227:6418
17Vilaverdense FC32432528:7915
18Gil Vicente00000:00