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Stadium Background

Mirandes vs UD Ourense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Municipal de Anduva, Miranda de Ebro
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Unzueta I.
Assist: Lozano M.
34' Event
Unzueta I.
Assist: Lozano M.
45'
Gonzalez N.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 game between Mirandes and UD Ourense finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mirandes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mirandes
35%
Draws
25%
UD Ourense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mirandes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • UD Ourense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mirandes a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Mirandes Clean Sheet 68%
UD Ourense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mirandes UD Ourense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Mirandes vs UD Ourense
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mirandes Compare

Top Goalscorer Unzueta I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

UD Ourense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mirandes 77 / 100
UD Ourense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mirandes UD Ourense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mirandes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mirandes found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: UD Ourense conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Mirandes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mirandes VS UD Ourense
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mirandes

(Home)
10 Oct
Mirandes
1 : 1
Zamora
04 Oct
Ponferradina
1 : 0
Mirandes
27 Sept
Mirandes
1 : 0
Unionistas de Salamanca
19 Sept
Real Union
2 : 2
Mirandes
12 Sept
AD Merida
3 : 4
Mirandes
Page 1 of 6

UD Ourense

(Away)
10 Oct
UD Ourense
1 : 0
Barakaldo
03 Oct
Real Union
1 : 1
UD Ourense
27 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 0
Cacereno
19 Sept
Unionistas de Salamanca
3 : 1
UD Ourense
12 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 3
UD Logrones
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones 6 5 1 0 15:7 16
2 Lugo 6 5 1 0 9:3 16
3 Racing Club Ferrol 7 4 1 2 8:5 13
4 Cacereno 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
5 Ath Bilbao B 6 3 2 1 12:8 11
6 Mirandes 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
7 Zamora 7 3 2 2 9:7 11
8 Ponferradina 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
9 CD Extremadura 7 3 0 4 9:8 9
10 Real Union 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
11 Pontevedra 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
12 Deportivo Fabril 7 2 2 3 8:8 8
13 Leonesa 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
14 Unionistas de Salamanca 7 2 1 4 10:13 7
15 AD Merida 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
16 Barakaldo 7 1 3 3 6:10 6
17 Real Aviles 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
18 CD Coria 7 1 2 4 10:15 5
19 UD Ourense 7 1 2 4 3:10 5
20 Arenas Getxo 6 0 2 4 4:14 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)