Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mirassol U20 vs Sport Recife U20

Brazil Brazil

Copinha
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mirassol U20 play Sport Recife U20 in the Copinha. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mirassol U20 averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. Sport Recife U20 averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Mirassol U20 won 2, Sport Recife U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 8, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.07 for Mirassol U20 and 2.13 for Sport Recife U20. This points to a Sport Recife U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Mirassol U20
15%
Draws
53%
Sport Recife U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sport Recife U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Mirassol U20 picked up more points recently compared to Sport Recife U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.07 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Mirassol U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Sport Recife U20 Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mirassol U20 Sport Recife U20
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 8, 2026 Copinha
Mirassol U20 vs Sport Recife U20
0:3
Jan 14, 2022 Copinha
Mirassol U20 vs Sport Recife U20
2:0
Jan 8, 2022 Copinha
Mirassol U20 vs Sport Recife U20
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mirassol U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sport Recife U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lacort M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mirassol U20 31 / 100
Sport Recife U20 51 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mirassol U20 Sport Recife U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Recife U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Sport Recife U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mirassol U20 attacking → ← attacking Sport Recife U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mirassol U20 scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Sport Recife U20 let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Mirassol U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sport Recife U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 52
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.14

League Standings

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4Sobradinho U2030033:60
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sport Recife U2032106:27
2Mirassol U2032013:46
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