Sport Picks
Mirassol vs Atletico-MG - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie A Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol 
AI Match Summary
Mirassol host Atletico-MG in the Serie A. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Atletico-MG have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Mirassol have conceded 1.19 and scored 1.23. Past meetings favor Atletico-MG slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Mirassol. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Atletico-MG have won more games recently than Mirassol.
- Win probability leans Mirassol's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Atletico-MG have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mirassol | Atletico-MG |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atletico-MG's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.
Difficult form: Atletico-MG registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Mirassol found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Mirassol
(Home)Atletico-MG
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 62:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 52:46 | 57 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 52:42 | 54 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51:43 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44:40 | 50 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44:39 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50:49 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:51 | 42 |
| 13 | Vasco | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43:50 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39:48 | 40 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 16 | Internacional | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:42 | 38 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:42 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:47 | 37 |
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33:68 | 21 |
