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Stadium Background

Mirassol vs Palmeiras Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol
Mirassol Logo

Mirassol

1 - 1
FT
Palmeiras Logo

Palmeiras

Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Abel Ferreira
50' Event
Eduardo
Assist: Igor Formiga
69'
Sub
Neto Moura In: Japa
Out: Neto Moura
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie A Betano matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Mirassol
35%
Draws
31%
Palmeiras
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Palmeiras lately — more wins on the board than Mirassol.
  • Mirassol are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Mirassol Clean Sheet 68%
Palmeiras Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mirassol Palmeiras
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 8 11
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.28 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Serie A Betano
Mirassol vs Palmeiras
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Serie A Betano
Palmeiras vs Mirassol
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 Paulista
Palmeiras vs Mirassol
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Serie A Betano
Mirassol vs Palmeiras
2:1
Jul 16, 2025 Serie A Betano
Palmeiras vs Mirassol
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mirassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Eduardo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Palmeiras Compare

Top Goalscorer Mauricio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mirassol 50 / 100
Palmeiras 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mirassol Palmeiras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mirassol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mirassol found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Mirassol stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Palmeiras's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mirassol VS Palmeiras
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mirassol

(Home)
27 Sept
Uberlandia
0 : 4
Mirassol
19 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 0
Botafogo RJ
13 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 2
Vitoria
06 Sept
Coritiba
1 : 2
Mirassol
02 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 0
Mirassol
Page 1 of 6

Palmeiras

(Away)
20 Sept
Gremio
0 : 0
Palmeiras
16 Sept
LDU Quito
3 : 3
Palmeiras
12 Sept
Palmeiras
2 : 0
Sao Paulo
09 Sept
Palmeiras
1 : 0
LDU Quito
06 Sept
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0
Palmeiras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 28 18 6 4 55:23 60
2 Palmeiras 28 16 9 3 47:21 57
3 Athletico-PR 28 14 7 7 43:32 49
4 Fluminense 28 13 9 6 44:36 48
5 Bahia 28 12 10 6 43:35 46
6 Cruzeiro 28 13 6 9 42:40 45
7 Atletico-MG 27 11 7 9 36:32 40
8 Santos 27 10 8 9 41:40 38
9 Coritiba 28 10 8 10 37:43 38
10 Bragantino 27 10 6 11 33:31 36
11 Sao Paulo 27 10 6 11 32:30 36
12 Botafogo RJ 28 9 8 11 41:45 35
13 Vitoria 28 9 6 13 28:42 33
14 Corinthians 28 8 8 12 29:32 32
15 Mirassol 28 8 8 12 33:42 32
16 Vasco 27 8 7 12 34:41 31
17 Gremio 28 7 8 13 30:38 29
18 Internacional 28 6 10 12 30:36 28
19 Remo 28 5 8 15 32:47 23
20 Chapecoense-SC 27 3 9 15 29:53 18
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)