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Mirassol vs Sao Paulo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mirassol host Sao Paulo in the Serie A Betano. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Mirassol at 1.25 goals for, 1.18 against; Sao Paulo at 1.03 for, 1.17 against. Head-to-head, Mirassol have won 3 to Sao Paulo's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.25 - 0.88) back Mirassol to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Mirassol
30%
Draws
27%
Sao Paulo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mirassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Paulo haven't matched Mirassol's recent run of results.
  • Mirassol are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Mirassol Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mirassol Sao Paulo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie A Betano
Sao Paulo vs Mirassol
1:0
Jan 11, 2026 Paulista
Mirassol vs Sao Paulo
3:0
Oct 19, 2025 Serie A Betano
Mirassol vs Sao Paulo
3:0
May 24, 2025 Serie A Betano
Sao Paulo vs Mirassol
0:2
Feb 5, 2025 Paulista
Sao Paulo vs Mirassol
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mirassol 85 / 100
Sao Paulo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mirassol Sao Paulo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mirassol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Mirassol remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Mirassol's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sao Paulo conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Mirassol VS Sao Paulo
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mirassol

(Home)
07 Oct
Bragantino
1 : 1
Mirassol
27 Sept
Uberlandia
0 : 4
Mirassol
19 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 0
Botafogo RJ
13 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 2
Vitoria
06 Sept
Coritiba
1 : 2
Mirassol
Page 1 of 6

Sao Paulo

(Away)
11 Oct
Sao Paulo
2 : 1
Vitoria
08 Oct
Cruzeiro
2 : 0
Sao Paulo
02 Oct
Sao Paulo
1 : 2
Santos
20 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 0
Internacional
16 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 1
Boca Juniors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 29 18 7 4 57:25 61
2 Palmeiras 29 17 9 3 48:21 60
3 Fluminense 29 14 9 6 48:36 51
4 Athletico-PR 29 14 8 7 45:34 50
5 Cruzeiro 29 14 6 9 44:40 48
6 Bahia 29 12 10 7 43:36 46
7 Atletico-MG 29 12 8 9 39:34 44
8 Santos 29 11 9 9 45:43 42
9 Sao Paulo 30 11 6 13 35:35 39
10 Coritiba 29 10 8 11 37:47 38
11 Bragantino 29 10 7 12 34:33 37
12 Vitoria 30 10 6 14 33:44 36
13 Botafogo RJ 29 9 8 12 42:47 35
14 Vasco 29 9 8 12 36:42 35
15 Mirassol 29 8 9 12 34:43 33
16 Corinthians 29 8 8 13 30:34 32
17 Internacional 29 7 10 12 32:37 31
18 Gremio 29 7 9 13 31:39 30
19 Remo 30 5 10 15 33:48 25
20 Chapecoense-SC 28 3 9 16 29:57 18
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)