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Mirassol W vs Corinthians W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Paulista Women
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Jaqueline Ribeiro
16' Event
Giovana
23' Event
Jaqueline Ribeiro

AI Match Summary

Corinthians W in this Paulista Women matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Corinthians W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Mirassol W
15%
Draws
78%
Corinthians W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Corinthians W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Corinthians W have won more games recently than Mirassol W.
  • Corinthians W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Mirassol W Clean Sheet 10%
Corinthians W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mirassol W Corinthians W
Matches Played 7 29
Wins 0 20
Draws 1 2
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 0.29 2.41
Goals Conceded 2.71 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.52 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Paulista Women
Mirassol W vs Corinthians W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mirassol W Compare

Top Goalscorer Giovana
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.26

Corinthians W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaqueline Ribeiro
2 Goals
Assists Leader Erika
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mirassol W 10 / 100
Corinthians W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mirassol W Corinthians W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corinthians W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Corinthians W let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Mirassol W scored in 29% of their last 7 games.

Mirassol W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mirassol W VS Corinthians W
0.4 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
80% Over 1.5 50%
20% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mirassol W

(Home)
26 Aug
Santos W
1 : 0
Mirassol W
12 Aug
Mirassol W
1 : 4
Corinthians W
27 Jul
Sao Paulo W
2 : 0
Mirassol W
16 Jul
Mirassol W
1 : 1
Bragantino W
07 Jun
Taubate W
2 : 0
Mirassol W
Page 1 of 2

Corinthians W

(Away)
26 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 2
Sao Paulo W
22 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 0
Bahia W
16 Sept
Bahia W
0 : 1
Corinthians W
07 Sept
Corinthians W
3 : 1
Cruzeiro W
31 Aug
Cruzeiro W
0 : 1
Corinthians W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria W 7 5 1 1 15:5 16
2 Palmeiras W 7 5 1 1 13:3 16
3 Corinthians W 7 4 1 2 20:8 13
4 Sao Paulo W 7 4 0 3 7:7 12
5 Santos W 7 2 3 2 6:6 9
6 Bragantino W 7 1 4 2 5:13 7
7 Taubate W 7 1 1 5 8:15 4
8 Mirassol W 7 0 1 6 2:19 1
Promotion - Paulista Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paulista Women (Play Offs)