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Stadium Background

Mirebalais vs America des Cayes

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mirebalais in this Championnat National 2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mirebalais.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Mirebalais
22%
Draws
18%
America des Cayes
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Mirebalais

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to America des Cayes lately — more wins on the board than Mirebalais.
  • Model gives Mirebalais a 60% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championnat National 2021 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Mirebalais Clean Sheet 17%
America des Cayes Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mirebalais America des Cayes
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 6 14
Draws 15 12
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2021 Championnat National
Mirebalais vs America des Cayes
1:0
Sep 27, 2020 Championnat National
America des Cayes vs Mirebalais
1:0
Sep 22, 2019 Championnat National
Mirebalais vs America des Cayes
3:0
Mar 17, 2019 Championnat National
America des Cayes vs Mirebalais
0:0
Oct 15, 2017 Championnat National
America des Cayes vs Mirebalais
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mirebalais 57 / 100
America des Cayes 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mirebalais America des Cayes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Mirebalais stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Mirebalais found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: America des Cayes conceded in 52% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mirebalais VS America des Cayes
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Don Bosco844014:516
2Mirebalais93608:515
3Ouanaminthe94328:615
4Rivartibonitienne93517:614
5Arcahaie63307:112
6Cavaly63309:412
7Fica93335:412
8Tempete83327:812
9AS Capoise93246:511
10Triomphe Liancourt82428:610
11Real du Cap931510:1110
12Violette92437:810
13Racing des Gonaives92434:710
14America des Cayes72237:78
15Juventus82245:88
16Baltimore81346:96
17Racing Haitien81348:166
18Cosmopolites71153:134