Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Championnat National 2021 game between Mirebalais and Arcahaie finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mirebalais.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
35%
23%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mirebalais
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Arcahaie come out ahead of Mirebalais on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Mirebalais's way, sitting at 40%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championnat National 2021 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Mirebalais Clean Sheet 20%
Arcahaie Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mirebalais | Arcahaie |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 15 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.66 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.51 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 13, 2020 Championnat National
Mirebalais vs Arcahaie
1:0
Mar 1, 2020 Championnat National
Arcahaie vs Mirebalais
0:0
Sep 8, 2019 Championnat National
Mirebalais vs Arcahaie
0:0
Mar 10, 2019 Championnat National
Arcahaie vs Mirebalais
1:0
Nov 1, 2018 Championnat National
Mirebalais vs Arcahaie
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mirebalais 40 / 100
Arcahaie 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mirebalais Arcahaie
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mirebalais Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mirebalais went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Mirebalais scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Arcahaie let in goals in 48% of their last 27 matches.
H2H data points to 0.60 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Mirebalais VS Arcahaie
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.13
50% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mirebalais
(Home) 30 May
Mirebalais
1 : 1 Cosmopolites
23 May
Racing Haitien
1 : 1 Mirebalais
19 May
Real du Cap
0 : 1 Mirebalais
09 May
AS Capoise
0 : 1 Mirebalais
06 May
Mirebalais
1 : 1 Don Bosco
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30 May
Mirebalais
1 : 1 Cosmopolites
06 May
Mirebalais
1 : 1 Don Bosco
02 May
Mirebalais
1 : 0 America des Cayes
18 Apr
Mirebalais
0 : 0 Violette
13 Dec
Mirebalais
1 : 0 Arcahaie
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Arcahaie
(Away) 16 May
Arcahaie
0 : 2 Waterhouse
13 May
Vega Real
2 : 1 Arcahaie
30 May
Ouanaminthe
0 : 3 Arcahaie
16 May
Triomphe Liancourt
1 : 1 Arcahaie
13 May
Fica
0 : 0 Arcahaie
Page 1 of 6
13 May
Vega Real
2 : 1 Arcahaie
30 May
Ouanaminthe
0 : 3 Arcahaie
16 May
Triomphe Liancourt
1 : 1 Arcahaie
13 May
Fica
0 : 0 Arcahaie
02 May
Juventus
0 : 1 Arcahaie
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arcahaie | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 20:10 | 30 |
| 2 | Baltimore | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 12:5 | 30 |
| 3 | Triomphe Liancourt | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | 30 |
| 4 | AS Capoise | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 16:12 | 27 |
| 5 | Racing Haitien | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 17:14 | 27 |
| 6 | Violette | 17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 18:13 | 25 |
| 7 | Cavaly | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16:14 | 25 |
| 8 | America des Cayes | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16:15 | 25 |
| 9 | Real du Cap | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21:15 | 23 |
| 10 | Tempete | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18:15 | 22 |
| 11 | Juventus | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 12:16 | 22 |
| 12 | Rivartibonitienne | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:22 | 20 |
| 13 | Don Bosco | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 20:21 | 19 |
| 14 | Ouanaminthe | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 11:18 | 18 |
| 15 | Cosmopolites | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 13:23 | 18 |
| 16 | Fica | 17 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 17:16 | 17 |
| 17 | Racing des Gonaives | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 18 | Mirebalais | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10:19 | 14 |
Promotion - Championnat National 2021 (Serie de Ouverture - Play Offs)
Promotion - Championnat National 2021 (Serie de Ouverture - Play Offs)
