Sport Picks

Haiti

Championnat National 2021

Racing des Gonaives

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mirebalais play Racing des Gonaives in the Championnat National 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mirebalais averaged 0.66 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Racing des Gonaives averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Mirebalais won 3, Racing des Gonaives won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Nov 8, 2020 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Mirebalais and 0.69 for Racing des Gonaives. This points to a Mirebalais double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Mirebalais

35%

Draws

29%

Racing des Gonaives

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mirebalais

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Mirebalais picked up more points recently compared to Racing des Gonaives.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 0.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 52%

Over 2.5 Goals 23%

Over 3.5 Goals 14%

Over 4.5 Goals 7%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Mirebalais Clean Sheet 28%

Racing des Gonaives Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 47%

Second Half Goal 49%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mirebalais	Racing des Gonaives
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	6	7
Draws	15	12
Losses	8	11
Goals Scored	0.66	0.73
Goals Conceded	0.9	1
Expected Goals (xG)	0.83	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2020 Championnat National

Mirebalais vs Racing des Gonaives

Possession: 47% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Sep 29, 2019 Championnat National

Mirebalais vs Racing des Gonaives

Possession: 41% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Mar 31, 2019 Championnat National

Racing des Gonaives vs Mirebalais

Possession: 56% - 60% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Sep 16, 2018 Championnat National

Mirebalais vs Racing des Gonaives

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Mar 4, 2018 Championnat National

Racing des Gonaives vs Mirebalais

Possession: 58% - 56% Cards: 3 - 0

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mirebalais 38 / 100

Racing des Gonaives 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mirebalais Racing des Gonaives

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mirebalais or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +35.2%

5.88

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mirebalais attacking → ← attacking Racing des Gonaives

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mirebalais scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Racing des Gonaives let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Mirebalais went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Racing des Gonaives lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 33

0.83 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arcahaie	17	9	3	5	20:10	30
2	Baltimore	17	8	6	3	12:5	30
3	Triomphe Liancourt	17	9	3	5	17:15	30
4	AS Capoise	17	7	6	4	16:12	27
5	Racing Haitien	17	8	3	6	17:14	27
6	Violette	17	5	10	2	18:13	25
7	Cavaly	17	7	4	6	16:14	25
8	America des Cayes	17	7	4	6	16:15	25
9	Real du Cap	17	6	5	6	21:15	23
10	Tempete	17	6	4	7	18:15	22
11	Juventus	17	6	4	7	12:16	22
12	Rivartibonitienne	17	5	5	7	15:22	20
13	Don Bosco	17	4	7	6	20:21	19
14	Ouanaminthe	17	4	6	7	11:18	18
15	Cosmopolites	17	4	6	7	13:23	18
16	Fica	17	2	11	4	17:16	17
17	Racing des Gonaives	17	3	7	7	12:18	16
18	Mirebalais	17	2	8	7	10:19	14