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Misto vs Naviraiense

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024
Sat, Sep 14, 2024
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Misto host Naviraiense in the Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Naviraiense have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Misto have conceded 0.67 and scored 0.83. Past meetings favor Misto slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 20, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.04 - 0.90) back Naviraiense to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Misto
39%
Draws
31%
Naviraiense
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Naviraiense have won more games recently than Misto.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Misto Clean Sheet 20%
Naviraiense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Misto Naviraiense
Matches Played 9 28
Wins 2 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 2 6
Goals Scored 0.83 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.67 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Naviraiense vs Misto
0:0
Sep 14, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Misto vs Naviraiense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Misto 31 / 100
Naviraiense 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Misto Naviraiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Naviraiense conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Misto remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Misto's goal record stands at 44% scoring rate across 9 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Misto VS Naviraiense
0.83 Goals Scored 1.13
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Misto

(Home)
18 Jul
Uniao ABC
0 : 0
Misto
11 Jul
Misto
0 : 0
Sao Gabriel MS
04 Jul
7 de Setembro
3 : 1
Misto
27 Jun
Misto
2 : 0
Aquidauanense
22 Jun
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
1 : 2
Misto
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Naviraiense

(Away)
18 Mar
Naviraiense
0 : 4
Bataguassu
15 Mar
Bataguassu
0 : 1
Naviraiense
01 Mar
Aguia Negra
1 : 2
Naviraiense
22 Feb
Naviraiense
0 : 0
Operario MS
15 Feb
Costa Rica
1 : 1
Naviraiense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Naviraiense853015:318
2Aguia Negra843110:615
37 de Setembro832312:1511
4Comercial MS821511:177
5Operario AC80356:133
6Misto00000:00
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