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Misto vs Naviraiense

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024
Misto Logo

Misto

Sat, Sep 14, 2024
VS
07:00 PM
Naviraiense Logo

Naviraiense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Misto host Naviraiense in the Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024. This one's hard to separate. Naviraiense have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Misto have conceded 0.7 and scored 1.1. Past meetings favor Misto slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 20, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.21 - 1.10) back Misto to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Misto
35%
Draws
32%
Naviraiense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Naviraiense have won more games recently than Misto.
  • Win probability leans Misto's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Misto Clean Sheet 20%
Naviraiense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Misto Naviraiense
Matches Played 10 28
Wins 4 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 1 6
Goals Scored 1.1 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Naviraiense vs Misto
0:0
Sep 14, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Misto vs Naviraiense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Misto 49 / 100
Naviraiense 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Misto Naviraiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Misto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Misto found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (10 games).

Defensive concern: Naviraiense conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Misto stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Misto VS Naviraiense
1.29 Goals Scored 1.5
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Misto

(Home)
02 Aug
Misto
3 : 1
EC Campo Grande
25 Jul
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Misto
18 Jul
Uniao ABC
0 : 0
Misto
11 Jul
Misto
0 : 0
Sao Gabriel MS
04 Jul
7 de Setembro
3 : 1
Misto
Page 1 of 2

Naviraiense

(Away)
18 Mar
Naviraiense
0 : 4
Bataguassu
15 Mar
Bataguassu
0 : 1
Naviraiense
01 Mar
Aguia Negra
1 : 2
Naviraiense
22 Feb
Naviraiense
0 : 0
Operario MS
15 Feb
Costa Rica
1 : 1
Naviraiense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naviraiense 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
2 Aguia Negra 8 4 3 1 10:6 15
3 7 de Setembro 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
4 Comercial MS 8 2 1 5 11:17 7
5 Operario AC 8 0 3 5 6:13 3
6 Misto 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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