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Misto vs Operario AC

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024
Misto Logo

Misto

Sat, Oct 12, 2024
VS
07:00 PM
Operario AC Logo

Operario AC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Misto host Operario AC in the Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024. This has Misto written all over it on paper. Operario AC have shipped 2.42 goals a game lately, while Misto have conceded 0.7 and scored 1.1. Past meetings favor Misto slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 12, 2024, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.77 xG vs 0.28) point toward Misto. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Misto
30%
Draws
8%
Operario AC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Misto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Misto come out ahead of Operario AC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Misto's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Misto Clean Sheet 20%
Operario AC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Misto Operario AC
Matches Played 10 26
Wins 4 1
Draws 5 8
Losses 1 17
Goals Scored 1.1 0.85
Goals Conceded 0.7 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 0.77 0.28
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Misto vs Operario AC
0:0
Sep 7, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Operario AC vs Misto
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Misto 85 / 100
Operario AC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Misto Operario AC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Misto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario AC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 26 matches.

Misto's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 10 recent games.

Recent resilience: Misto stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Operario AC's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Misto VS Operario AC
0.25 Goals Scored 0.43
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.29
13% Over 1.5 43%
13% Over 2.5 14%
0% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Misto

(Home)
02 Aug
Misto
3 : 1
EC Campo Grande
25 Jul
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Misto
18 Jul
Uniao ABC
0 : 0
Misto
11 Jul
Misto
0 : 0
Sao Gabriel MS
04 Jul
7 de Setembro
3 : 1
Misto
Page 1 of 2

Operario AC

(Away)
10 Nov
Operario AC
0 : 1
Naviraiense
03 Nov
Aguia Negra
1 : 0
Operario AC
27 Oct
Comercial MS
4 : 2
Operario AC
19 Oct
Operario AC
0 : 2
7 de Setembro
05 Oct
Naviraiense
1 : 1
Operario AC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naviraiense 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
2 Aguia Negra 8 4 3 1 10:6 15
3 7 de Setembro 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
4 Comercial MS 8 2 1 5 11:17 7
5 Operario AC 8 0 3 5 6:13 3
6 Misto 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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