Sport Picks
Match Events
27'
27'
Watanabe A.
33'
33'
Soma Y.
46'
46'
Sub
Duke M. In: Nishimura T.
Out: Duke M.
AI Match Summary
The J1 League game between Mito and Machida Zelvia finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Machida Zelvia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Machida Zelvia come out ahead of Mito on wins alone.
- Model gives Machida Zelvia a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular J1 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Mito Clean Sheet 10%
Machida Zelvia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mito | Machida Zelvia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 32 |
| Wins | 8 | 22 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 18 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 J1 League
Mito vs Machida Zelvia
1:1
Apr 29, 2026 J1 League
Mito vs Machida Zelvia
2:3
Feb 14, 2026 J1 League
Machida Zelvia vs Mito
3:2
Jun 24, 2023 J2 League
Mito vs Machida Zelvia
1:1
Mar 12, 2023 J2 League
Machida Zelvia vs Mito
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mito Compare
Top Goalscorer Watanabe A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Machida Zelvia Compare
Top Goalscorer Soma Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mito 10 / 100
Machida Zelvia 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mito Machida Zelvia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Machida Zelvia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Mito scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Mito went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Machida Zelvia has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.
Scoring Trends
Mito VS Machida Zelvia
0.88 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Mito
(Home) 29 Aug
Mito
1 : 1 Machida Zelvia
26 Aug
Mito
0 : 2 Kyoto Sangyo
22 Aug
Kyoto
1 : 3 Mito
15 Aug
Mito
1 : 1 Gamba Osaka
08 Aug
Kashiwa Reysol
2 : 1 Mito
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Mito
1 : 1 Machida Zelvia
26 Aug
Mito
0 : 2 Kyoto Sangyo
15 Aug
Mito
1 : 1 Gamba Osaka
06 Jun
Mito
0 : 1 V-Varen Nagasaki
24 May
Mito
1 : 3 Kawasaki Frontale
Page 1 of 3
Machida Zelvia
(Away) 29 Aug
Mito
1 : 1 Machida Zelvia
26 Aug
Machida Zelvia
3 : 0 Iwate Grulla Morioka
23 Aug
Machida Zelvia
3 : 1 Urawa Reds
15 Aug
Chiba
0 : 4 Machida Zelvia
08 Aug
FC Tokyo
1 : 5 Machida Zelvia
Page 1 of 7
29 Aug
Mito
1 : 1 Machida Zelvia
15 Aug
Chiba
0 : 4 Machida Zelvia
08 Aug
FC Tokyo
1 : 5 Machida Zelvia
30 May
Nagoya Grampus
2 : 2 Machida Zelvia
17 May
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 1 Machida Zelvia
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 8 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8:6 | 6 |
| 8 | Nagoya Grampus | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Mito | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 12 | Gamba Osaka | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | 5 |
| 13 | Okayama | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | 4 |
| 15 | Avispa Fukuoka | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 16 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:3 | 3 |
| 17 | Urawa Reds | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:13 | 3 |
| 18 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 19 | Verdy | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:6 | 2 |
| 20 | Chiba | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:13 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
