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Mito vs Shimizu S-Pulse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League Best Denki Stadium, Mito
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
06:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mito host Shimizu S-Pulse in the J1 League. Mito are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Mito at 1.34 goals for, 1.66 against; Shimizu S-Pulse at 1.28 for, 1.21 against. Head-to-head, Mito have won 0 to Shimizu S-Pulse's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Oct 6, 2024, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Mito. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Mito
20%
Draws
47%
Shimizu S-Pulse
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shimizu S-Pulse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shimizu S-Pulse come out ahead of Mito on wins alone.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Mito taking it.
  • Regular J1 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Mito Clean Sheet 20%
Shimizu S-Pulse Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mito Shimizu S-Pulse
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 3 3
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.34 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2024 J2 League
Mito vs Shimizu S-Pulse
2:2
May 26, 2024 J2 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Mito
2:1
Nov 12, 2023 J2 League
Mito vs Shimizu S-Pulse
1:1
Feb 18, 2023 J2 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Mito
0:0
Sep 18, 2016 J2 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Mito
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mito 49 / 100
Shimizu S-Pulse 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mito Shimizu S-Pulse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mito Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mito scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Shimizu S-Pulse let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Mito remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mito VS Shimizu S-Pulse
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mito

(Home)
29 Sept
Fukushima United
0 : 7
Mito
19 Sept
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 0
Mito
12 Sept
Mito
0 : 1
Kawasaki Frontale
09 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1
Mito
05 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
1 : 1
Mito
Page 1 of 6

Shimizu S-Pulse

(Away)
29 Sept
Kanazawa
0 : 2
Shimizu S-Pulse
19 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1
Chiba
12 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 0
Avispa Fukuoka
06 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 1
Shimizu S-Pulse
02 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 1
FC Tokyo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 8 6 1 1 12:5 19
2 Kashiwa Reysol 8 6 0 2 17:12 18
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 8 5 2 1 20:6 17
4 Machida Zelvia 8 5 2 1 21:10 17
5 FC Tokyo 8 5 2 1 14:8 17
6 Yokohama F. Marinos 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
7 Kawasaki Frontale 8 3 4 1 16:12 13
8 Kashima Antlers 8 4 1 3 17:16 13
9 Okayama 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
10 Urawa Reds 8 4 0 4 16:18 12
11 Cerezo Osaka 8 3 2 3 7:12 11
12 Shimizu S-Pulse 8 3 1 4 6:8 10
13 Mito 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
14 Kyoto 8 2 2 4 11:15 8
15 V-Varen Nagasaki 8 2 2 4 10:15 8
16 Gamba Osaka 8 1 3 4 8:14 6
17 Nagoya Grampus 8 2 0 6 7:14 6
18 Avispa Fukuoka 8 1 1 6 9:12 4
19 Verdy 8 0 4 4 4:12 4
20 Chiba 8 1 1 6 7:18 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)