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Mito vs Urawa Reds - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League Best Denki Stadium, Mito
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
07:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mito host Urawa Reds in the J1 League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Mito at 1.34 goals for, 1.66 against; Urawa Reds at 1.69 for, 1.62 against. Past meetings favor Urawa Reds slightly — 0-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 1:4. xG projections (1.38 - 1.75) back Urawa Reds to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mito
15%
Draws
54%
Urawa Reds
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Urawa Reds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Mito haven't matched Urawa Reds's recent run of results.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Mito taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Urawa Reds here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Mito Clean Sheet 12%
Urawa Reds Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mito Urawa Reds
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 3 2
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.34 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 J1 League
Mito vs Urawa Reds
1:4
Mar 7, 2026 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs Mito
2:0
Aug 14, 2019 Emperors Cup
Urawa Reds vs Mito
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mito 38 / 100
Urawa Reds 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mito Urawa Reds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mito Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Mito found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Urawa Reds conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Mito remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mito VS Urawa Reds
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mito

(Home)
29 Sept
Fukushima United
0 : 7
Mito
19 Sept
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 0
Mito
12 Sept
Mito
0 : 1
Kawasaki Frontale
09 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1
Mito
05 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
1 : 1
Mito
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Urawa Reds

(Away)
29 Sept
Toyama
2 : 3
Urawa Reds
19 Sept
Urawa Reds
3 : 1
Verdy
13 Sept
Urawa Reds
1 : 2
Okayama
06 Sept
Kashima Antlers
0 : 1
Urawa Reds
02 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 3
Urawa Reds
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 8 6 1 1 12:5 19
2 Kashiwa Reysol 8 6 0 2 17:12 18
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 8 5 2 1 20:6 17
4 Machida Zelvia 8 5 2 1 21:10 17
5 FC Tokyo 8 5 2 1 14:8 17
6 Yokohama F. Marinos 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
7 Kawasaki Frontale 8 3 4 1 16:12 13
8 Kashima Antlers 8 4 1 3 17:16 13
9 Okayama 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
10 Urawa Reds 8 4 0 4 16:18 12
11 Cerezo Osaka 8 3 2 3 7:12 11
12 Shimizu S-Pulse 8 3 1 4 6:8 10
13 Mito 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
14 Kyoto 8 2 2 4 11:15 8
15 V-Varen Nagasaki 8 2 2 4 10:15 8
16 Gamba Osaka 8 1 3 4 8:14 6
17 Nagoya Grampus 8 2 0 6 7:14 6
18 Avispa Fukuoka 8 1 1 6 9:12 4
19 Verdy 8 0 4 4 4:12 4
20 Chiba 8 1 1 6 7:18 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)