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Stadium Background

Mito vs Verdy

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 Best Denki Stadium, Mito
Mito Logo

Mito

0 - 1
FT
Verdy Logo

Verdy

Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Nemoto R.
54' Event
Shirai R.
Assist: Arai Y.
59'
Sub
Nemoto R. In: Kato C.
Out: Nemoto R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Verdy in this J1 League 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Verdy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Mito
30%
Draws
47%
Verdy
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Verdy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Verdy have won more games recently than Mito.
  • Mito are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Verdy here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Mito Clean Sheet 68%
Verdy Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mito Verdy
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 1 3
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 J1 League
Mito vs Verdy
0:1
Feb 8, 2026 J1 League
Verdy vs Mito
3:1
Jul 29, 2023 J2 League
Verdy vs Mito
0:0
Apr 29, 2023 J2 League
Mito vs Verdy
0:2
Sep 21, 2022 J2 League
Mito vs Verdy
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mito Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Verdy Compare

Top Goalscorer Shirai R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mito 77 / 100
Verdy 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mito Verdy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mito Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mito scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Verdy let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Verdy has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mito VS Verdy
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mito

(Home)
15 Aug
Mito
1 : 1
Gamba Osaka
08 Aug
Kashiwa Reysol
2 : 1
Mito
06 Jun
Mito
0 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
30 May
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 : 0
Mito
24 May
Mito
1 : 3
Kawasaki Frontale
Page 1 of 6

Verdy

(Away)
14 Aug
Verdy
1 : 3
Kashiwa Reysol
09 Aug
Verdy
1 : 1
Kawasaki Frontale
06 Jun
Verdy
2 : 4
Gamba Osaka
30 May
Gamba Osaka
1 : 1
Verdy
24 May
Verdy
0 : 6
Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 18 15 0 3 31:11 45
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 32:18 37
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 28:22 37
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 26:28 28
5 Verdy 18 10 0 8 22:26 28
6 Urawa Reds 18 7 0 11 25:22 25
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 28:31 20
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 22:24 20
9 Mito 18 6 0 12 23:39 18
10 Chiba 18 3 0 15 18:34 12
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 29:25 35
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 30:21 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 33:31 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 31:23 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 31:25 28
6 Okayama 18 8 0 10 26:29 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 8 0 10 23:25 24
8 Kyoto 18 8 0 10 22:28 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 21:29 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 21:31 21
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