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Mitrovica vs Istogu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mitrovica host Istogu in the Liga e Pare. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Mitrovica at 0.97 goals for, 1.93 against; Istogu at 1.6 for, 1.8 against. Head-to-head, Mitrovica have won 0 to Istogu's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 27, 2025, ending 3:5. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.19, favoring Istogu. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Mitrovica
20%
Draws
73%
Istogu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Istogu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Mitrovica haven't matched Istogu's recent run of results.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Istogu taking it.
  • Regular Liga e Pare form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Istogu have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Mitrovica Clean Sheet 20%
Istogu Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mitrovica Istogu
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 3 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.97 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Liga e Pare
Mitrovica vs Istogu
3:5
Nov 3, 2024 Liga e Pare
Mitrovica vs Istogu
2:2
Aug 26, 2024 Liga e Pare
Istogu vs Mitrovica
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mitrovica 10 / 100
Istogu 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mitrovica Istogu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Istogu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Istogu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Mitrovica found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Mitrovica remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mitrovica VS Istogu
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mitrovica

(Home)
21 Oct
Vjosa
3 : 0
Mitrovica
17 Oct
Mitrovica
0 : 0
Trepca 89
11 Oct
Ferizaj
1 : 0
Mitrovica
26 Sept
Prishtina e Re
4 : 1
Mitrovica
19 Sept
Mitrovica
0 : 1
Besa Peja
Page 1 of 6

Istogu

(Away)
21 Oct
Istogu
1 : 0
Ramiz Sadiku
17 Oct
2 Korriku
1 : 0
Istogu
10 Oct
Istogu
3 : 2
Vellaznimi
03 Oct
Rilindja
0 : 2
Istogu
26 Sept
Vjosa
1 : 1
Istogu
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prishtina e Re 11 8 0 3 20:11 24
2 Liria 10 7 2 1 14:4 23
3 Rilindja 11 6 3 2 17:10 21
4 Trepca 89 11 5 5 1 12:6 20
5 Ferizaj 11 5 4 2 16:6 19
6 Dinamo Ferizaj 11 5 4 2 17:9 19
7 Suhareka 11 4 4 3 19:14 16
8 Istogu 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
9 2 Korriku 11 4 3 4 7:7 15
10 Vjosa 11 3 5 3 13:9 14
11 Vellaznimi 11 4 2 5 14:19 14
12 Besa Peja 11 3 3 5 15:17 12
13 Trepca Mitrovice 11 3 2 6 7:17 11
14 Ramiz Sadiku 11 1 6 4 11:16 9
15 KF Lepenci 11 1 6 4 9:15 9
16 Kika 11 1 6 4 8:17 9
17 Tefik Canga 11 1 3 7 10:18 6
18 Mitrovica 10 0 5 5 5:15 5
Promotion - Superliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga (Relegation)