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Mitundu Baptist vs Kamuzu Barracks Prediction & H2H Stats

Malawi Malawi

Super League
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Chikadza E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Mitundu Baptist and Kamuzu Barracks finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mitundu Baptist.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Mitundu Baptist
35%
Draws
30%
Kamuzu Barracks
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Mitundu Baptist haven't matched Kamuzu Barracks's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Mitundu Baptist's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Mitundu Baptist Clean Sheet 20%
Kamuzu Barracks Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mitundu Baptist Kamuzu Barracks
Matches Played 15 29
Wins 5 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 0.8 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Super League
Mitundu Baptist vs Kamuzu Barracks
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mitundu Baptist 42 / 100
Kamuzu Barracks 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mitundu Baptist Kamuzu Barracks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kamuzu Barracks has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Mitundu Baptist remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Mitundu Baptist scored in 47% of their last 15 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mitundu Baptist VS Kamuzu Barracks
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mitundu Baptist

(Home)
09 Sept
Dedza Dynamos
0 : 0
Mitundu Baptist
23 Aug
Mitundu Baptist
0 : 0
Big Bullets
15 Aug
Chitipa United
1 : 0
Mitundu Baptist
09 Aug
Mitundu Baptist
2 : 1
Karonga United
26 Jul
Mitundu Baptist
1 : 1
Silver Strikers
Page 1 of 3

Kamuzu Barracks

(Away)
05 Sept
Kamuzu Barracks
0 : 1
Civo Utd
22 Aug
Moyale Barracks
2 : 2
Kamuzu Barracks
16 Aug
Kamuzu Barracks
0 : 2
Mighty Wanderers FC
09 Aug
Red Lions
0 : 0
Kamuzu Barracks
26 Jul
Kamuzu Barracks
4 : 1
MAFCO
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blue Eagles 15 10 1 4 24:16 31
2 Big Bullets 15 8 6 1 20:7 30
3 Mighty Wanderers FC 15 8 5 2 27:11 29
4 Silver Strikers 15 8 5 2 23:10 29
5 Masters FC 15 6 4 5 17:16 22
6 Moyale Barracks 15 5 6 4 16:17 21
7 Chitipa United 15 6 3 6 11:16 21
8 Red Lions 15 5 5 5 12:13 20
9 Mitundu Baptist 15 5 5 5 12:13 20
10 Civo Utd 15 6 2 7 10:14 20
11 Ekhaya 15 4 6 5 15:14 18
12 Dedza Dynamos 15 3 6 6 9:19 15
13 Karonga United 15 3 5 7 14:23 14
14 MAFCO 15 3 4 8 12:17 13
15 Kamuzu Barracks 15 3 3 9 15:22 12
16 Creck Sporting 15 2 4 9 11:20 10
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)