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Mixto vs Academia

Brazil Brazil

Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Mixto advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Mixto
30%
Draws
0%
Academia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mixto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mixto come out ahead of Academia on wins alone.
  • Mixto are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Mixto have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mixto, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mixto have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mixto Clean Sheet 20%
Academia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mixto Academia
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 13 3
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.18 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Matogrossense
Mixto vs Academia
3:1
Sep 7, 2024 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Mixto vs Academia
2:0
Jan 31, 2024 Matogrossense
Mixto vs Academia
2:1
Feb 12, 2023 Matogrossense
Academia vs Mixto
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mixto 85 / 100
Academia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mixto Academia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mixto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Academia conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Academia lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Mixto found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (33 games).

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mixto VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mixto

(Home)
27 Jun
Gama
1 : 0
Mixto
20 Jun
Mixto
1 : 2
Gama
07 Jun
Mixto
1 : 1
Ceilandia
30 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 2
Mixto
23 May
Mixto
1 : 1
Operario VG
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Academia

(Away)
22 Feb
Academia
0 : 1
Luverdense
15 Feb
Sport Sinop
2 : 0
Academia
08 Feb
Mixto
3 : 1
Academia
02 Feb
Academia
0 : 1
Cuiaba
29 Jan
Academia
0 : 1
Primavera AC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nova Mutum EC 6 5 1 0 11:1 16
2 Operario VG 6 3 3 0 12:4 12
3 Mixto 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
4 Academia 6 3 0 3 8:11 9
5 Caceres 6 1 3 2 8:10 6
6 Primavera AC 6 1 1 4 7:16 4
7 Cuiaba 6 0 0 6 1:11 0
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) 2024 (Play Offs)