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Mixto vs Gama

Brazil Brazil

Serie D
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Felipe Clemente
42' Event
Ramon
55' Event
Flavio Henrique

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Mixto
35%
Draws
45%
Gama
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gama lately — more wins on the board than Mixto.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Gama arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gama, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Gama have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Mixto Clean Sheet 68%
Gama Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mixto Gama
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 20
Draws 13 5
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.07 1.76
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Serie D
Gama vs Mixto
1:0
Jun 20, 2026 Serie D
Mixto vs Gama
1:2
Oct 11, 1979 Serie A Betano
Gama vs Mixto
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mixto Compare

Top Goalscorer Flavio Henrique
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Gama Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Clemente
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ramon
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.6
Avg xA / game 0.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mixto 42 / 100
Gama 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mixto Gama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mixto scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Mixto stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Gama conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mixto VS Gama
1 Goals Scored 2.38
1.14 Goals Conceded 0.88
71% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mixto

(Home)
27 Jun
Gama
1 : 0
Mixto
20 Jun
Mixto
1 : 2
Gama
07 Jun
Mixto
1 : 1
Ceilandia
30 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 2
Mixto
23 May
Mixto
1 : 1
Operario VG
Page 1 of 6

Gama

(Away)
08 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1
Gama
26 Jul
Gama
4 : 2
America RN
19 Jul
America RN
1 : 0
Gama
12 Jul
Gama
3 : 0
Porto Velho
04 Jul
Porto Velho
2 : 0
Gama
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 0
ASA 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 2
Uberlandia 1
CSA 0
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -