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Stadium Background

Mixto vs Goianesia

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Fleitux B.
14' Event
Wesley
25' Event
Edson

AI Match Summary

The Serie D 2025 game between Mixto and Goianesia finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mixto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Mixto
35%
Draws
47%
Goianesia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Goianesia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Goianesia haven't matched Mixto's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Mixto have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Mixto Clean Sheet 20%
Goianesia Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mixto Goianesia
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 10 5
Draws 15 11
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.12 0.96
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2025 Serie D
Goianesia vs Mixto
2:2
May 31, 2025 Serie D
Mixto vs Goianesia
3:2
Aug 11, 2013 Serie D
Goianesia vs Mixto
0:1
Jul 7, 2013 Serie D
Mixto vs Goianesia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mixto Compare

Top Goalscorer Edson
2 Goals
Assists Leader Emerson Machado
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Goianesia Compare

Top Goalscorer Fleitux B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wesley
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.51

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mixto 32 / 100
Goianesia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mixto Goianesia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mixto found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (33 games).

Goianesia has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Mixto went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mixto VS Goianesia
0.63 Goals Scored 0.83
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 33%
25% Over 2.5 17%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Mixto

(Home)
27 Jun
Gama
1 : 0
Mixto
20 Jun
Mixto
1 : 2
Gama
07 Jun
Mixto
1 : 1
Ceilandia
30 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 2
Mixto
23 May
Mixto
1 : 1
Operario VG
Page 1 of 7

Goianesia

(Away)
09 Aug
Mineiros
1 : 1
Goianesia
02 Aug
Goianesia
1 : 0
Tupy FC
29 Jul
Goianesia
3 : 2
Sao Luis
26 Jul
Bom Jesus
0 : 0
Goianesia
26 Jul
Ceilandia
2 : 0
Goianesia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tuna Luso 14 8 3 3 24:10 27
2 Manauara 14 7 5 2 27:11 26
3 Manaus FC 14 6 5 3 21:17 23
4 Independencia Futebol Clube 14 6 3 5 18:19 21
5 Aguia De Maraba 14 5 5 4 22:14 20
6 Trem 14 5 3 6 23:24 18
7 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 14 4 3 7 17:24 15
8 SC Humaita 14 1 1 12 12:45 4
Promotion - Serie D 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AE Altos 14 7 5 2 22:14 26
2 Imperatriz 14 7 3 4 17:15 24
3 Sampaio Correa 14 5 6 3 17:11 21
4 Maranhao 14 4 7 3 18:12 19
5 Iguatu 14 5 3 6 15:15 18
6 Tocantinopolis 14 3 6 5 11:17 15
7 Parnahyba 14 3 5 6 16:22 14
8 Maracana 14 3 3 8 12:22 12
Promotion - Serie D 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America RN 14 8 3 3 21:9 27
2 Santa Cruz 14 8 3 3 20:10 27
3 Central SC 14 7 5 2 15:7 26
4 Ferroviario 14 5 3 6 15:19 18
5 Horizonte 14 5 2 7 14:17 17
6 Santa Cruz de Natal 14 5 2 7 13:20 17
7 Treze PB 14 4 1 9 7:20 13
8 Sousa 14 3 3 8 11:14 12
Promotion - Serie D 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASA 14 9 4 1 27:8 31
2 Lagarto 14 7 2 5 20:16 23
3 Sergipe 14 6 4 4 16:10 22
4 Juazeirense 14 6 4 4 12:15 22
5 Uniao Carmolandense 14 5 4 5 14:16 19
6 Jequie 14 4 4 6 15:16 16
7 Barcelona FC 14 2 5 7 9:20 11
8 SC Penedense 14 1 5 8 5:17 8
Promotion - Serie D 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aparecidense 14 10 2 2 32:12 32
2 Ceilandia 14 8 4 2 23:14 28
3 Luverdense 14 7 4 3 14:12 25
4 Mixto 14 6 6 2 22:13 24
5 Capital 14 4 5 5 14:12 17
6 Goiania 14 2 4 8 12:22 10
7 Goianesia 14 1 5 8 11:22 8
8 Porto Velho 14 1 4 9 9:30 7
Promotion - Serie D 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa 14 9 3 2 22:13 30
2 Rio Branco ES 14 8 2 4 19:9 26
3 Agua Santa 14 6 3 5 20:18 21
4 Marica 14 5 4 5 14:14 19
5 Pouso Alegre 14 5 2 7 13:18 17
6 Porto Vitoria 14 4 5 5 14:13 17
7 Nova Iguacu 14 3 6 5 13:16 15
8 Boavista 14 2 3 9 9:23 9
Promotion - Serie D 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Internacional de Limeira 14 9 3 2 21:7 30
2 Cianorte 14 6 4 4 22:17 22
3 Goiatuba EC 14 6 4 4 21:16 22
4 FC Cascavel 14 5 6 3 15:15 21
5 Uberlandia 14 4 4 6 21:20 16
6 Monte Azul 14 3 5 6 13:18 14
7 Operario MS 14 3 5 6 13:22 14
8 Itabirito 14 1 7 6 11:22 10
Promotion - Serie D 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 14 8 2 4 20:10 26
2 EC Sao Jose (PA) 14 7 5 2 21:11 26
3 Joinville 14 6 3 5 11:11 21
4 Marcilio Dias 14 5 6 3 17:15 21
5 Guarany de Bage 14 5 4 5 11:14 19
6 Brasil de Pelotas 14 5 1 8 11:12 16
7 Sao Luiz 14 4 1 9 10:20 13
8 Azuriz 14 3 4 7 6:14 13
Promotion - Serie D 2025 (Play Offs)