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Mixto vs Nova Mutum EC

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2025 Estadio Eurico Gaspar Dutra (Dutrinha), Cuiabá
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Match Events

33'
Webert
38' Event
Geovani
46'
Sub
Marcus Vinicius In: Caue
Out: Marcus Vinicius

AI Match Summary

Mixto in this Matogrossense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mixto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Mixto
30%
Draws
52%
Nova Mutum EC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nova Mutum EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nova Mutum EC lately — more wins on the board than Mixto.
  • Win probability leans Mixto's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Mixto Clean Sheet 16%
Nova Mutum EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mixto Nova Mutum EC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 13 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.19 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Matogrossense
Nova Mutum EC vs Mixto
2:1
Jan 15, 2025 Matogrossense
Mixto vs Nova Mutum EC
5:0
Sep 14, 2024 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Nova Mutum EC vs Mixto
2:1
Jan 20, 2024 Matogrossense
Nova Mutum EC vs Mixto
0:1
Feb 9, 2023 Matogrossense
Mixto vs Nova Mutum EC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mixto Compare

Top Goalscorer Geovani
1 Goals
Assists Leader Raynan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Nova Mutum EC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mixto 41 / 100
Nova Mutum EC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mixto Nova Mutum EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mixto scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Nova Mutum EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Mixto stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mixto VS Nova Mutum EC
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mixto

(Home)
27 Jun
Gama
1 : 0
Mixto
20 Jun
Mixto
1 : 2
Gama
07 Jun
Mixto
1 : 1
Ceilandia
30 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 2
Mixto
23 May
Mixto
1 : 1
Operario VG
Page 1 of 7

Nova Mutum EC

(Away)
11 Feb
Operario VG
3 : 2
Nova Mutum EC
08 Feb
Nova Mutum EC
2 : 1
Mixto
05 Feb
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3
Nova Mutum EC
31 Jan
Cuiaba
2 : 1
Nova Mutum EC
28 Jan
Nova Mutum EC
3 : 2
Chapada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mixto 8 5 3 0 17:5 18
2 Cuiaba 8 4 4 0 18:5 16
3 Operario VG 8 4 4 0 11:4 16
4 Primavera AC 8 3 4 1 12:6 13
5 Nova Mutum EC 8 3 1 4 7:18 10
6 Uniao Rondonopolis 8 2 3 3 8:9 9
7 Luverdense 8 2 2 4 7:14 8
8 Sport Sinop 8 1 2 5 4:14 5
9 Academia 8 0 1 7 2:11 1
10 Caceres 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Matogrossense 2 (Main)