Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mixto vs Primavera AC

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Esquerdinha
87' Event
Cerqueira G.
89' Event
Di Maria

AI Match Summary

Mixto in this Matogrossense matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mixto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Mixto
35%
Draws
45%
Primavera AC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Primavera AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Mixto have won more games recently than Primavera AC.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Mixto taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Mixto Clean Sheet 68%
Primavera AC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mixto Primavera AC
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 16 13
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.09 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Matogrossense
Mixto vs Primavera AC
4:0
Mar 15, 2025 Matogrossense
Mixto vs Primavera AC
2:3
Mar 10, 2025 Matogrossense
Primavera AC vs Mixto
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 Matogrossense
Primavera AC vs Mixto
0:1
Sep 22, 2024 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Mixto vs Primavera AC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mixto Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Maria
2 Goals
Assists Leader Esquerdinha
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Primavera AC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mixto 51 / 100
Primavera AC 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mixto Primavera AC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mixto scored in 63% of their last 35 outings.

Primavera AC let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Mixto went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mixto VS Primavera AC
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mixto

(Home)
27 Jun
Gama
1 : 0
Mixto
20 Jun
Mixto
1 : 2
Gama
07 Jun
Mixto
1 : 1
Ceilandia
30 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 2
Mixto
23 May
Mixto
1 : 1
Operario VG
Page 1 of 7

Primavera AC

(Away)
07 Jun
Primavera AC
1 : 2
Brasiliense
30 May
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Primavera AC
23 May
Gama
4 : 0
Primavera AC
17 May
Primavera AC
1 : 0
Luverdense
09 May
Inhumas
0 : 2
Primavera AC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luverdense 9 5 2 2 7:3 17
2 Mixto 9 4 3 2 13:4 15
3 Operario VG 9 4 2 3 9:9 14
4 Sport Sinop 9 3 4 2 6:4 13
5 Cuiaba 9 3 3 3 8:8 12
6 Nova Mutum EC 9 3 3 3 13:15 12
7 Chapada 9 3 2 4 12:13 11
8 Uniao Rondonopolis 9 2 4 3 7:7 10
9 Primavera AC 9 1 7 1 6:9 10
10 Várzea Grande EC 9 1 2 6 5:14 5
Promotion - Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Matogrossense 2 2027 (Main)